@infinitevanilla

#3,051,6916

0x3c9a09d3a64bd00b2d1807104ab146c5395f6d6a

~10d· 14 markets · 290 tradesVol: $127,5402026-09-21 19:43:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

6
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (4/10)5/20
0.06x (win $720 / loss $11,160)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.6911 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2852 (10 markets)0/10
2/6 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 5557% of peak ($10,631 / $191)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
46% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,626,111$-1,385Vol: $115,255
💰 FINANCE#630,690$-64Vol: $6,574
CRYPTO#1,554,126$-189Vol: $5,290
🎭 CULTURE#550,938$-1Vol: $251
📈 ECONOMICS#619,684$-13Vol: $169

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,653
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$127,540
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
14
total markets
Trades
50B / 240S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

Periods

#2
Today
$-91
Vol: $0
Week
$-94
Vol: $53,787
Month
$-2
Vol: $53,787
All Time
$-1,653
Vol: $127,540

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
4W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$-1,653
Win Rate
40%
4W / 6L
Profit Factor
0.06x
Avg Win
$180
Avg Loss
$-1,860

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $719 (0.4352269839156692% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$473
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$190
Iran leadership change by April 30?$56
Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?$1

Top Losers

US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-9,803
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-990
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?$-282
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-54
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?$-25
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$-7

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.440
Sortino
-0.365
HHI
1889
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.740
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
33.1%
Top-5 markets
85.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.94
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
24
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.1

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 172s — normal for humanCV 1.94 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern9/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal12% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
15.9
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)46%
Mid (20-55c)20%
High (>55c)34%

Sessions

#12
9/20/2026, 7:25:40 PM79 trades$12,5473 min
4/3/2026, 8:53:49 PM27 trades$11,5381 min
9/17/2026, 6:42:37 PM27 trades$8,7050 min
4/3/2026, 8:47:11 PM12 trades$3,6671 min
5/4/2026, 8:18:20 PM60 trades$3,2160 min
4/7/2026, 10:54:01 PM9 trades$3,0710 min
3/29/2026, 8:54:22 PM1 trades$2,6700 min
3/22/2026, 9:24:39 PM1 trades$2,5000 min
3/29/2026, 9:16:32 PM1 trades$2,5000 min
9/18/2026, 7:55:45 PM6 trades$1,7550 min
4/7/2026, 9:19:33 PM9 trades$1,3651 min
4/8/2026, 4:55:31 PM7 trades$8382 min
4/7/2026, 11:09:17 PM8 trades$5832 min
4/7/2026, 11:24:39 PM11 trades$4196 min
9/20/2026, 10:03:55 AM10 trades$3800 min
4/7/2026, 10:59:17 PM4 trades$2890 min
4/5/2026, 9:42:11 PM2 trades$1960 min
3/29/2026, 9:53:56 PM1 trades$1700 min
4/5/2026, 8:54:31 PM2 trades$1190 min
4/7/2026, 11:18:19 PM3 trades$1140 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-22
03-29
04-03
04-07
04-08
05-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 36 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
82.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.9/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L46 / M20 / H34