@intrepid

#2,68977

0xd66f79a8d19d4223b6c70dd4e620d4875501a19b

~332d· 1514 markets · 40644 tradesVol: $8,177,4862026-09-10 21:32:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

77
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

61% (918/1513)15.3/20
1.35x (win $339,160 / loss $251,022)6.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.06115/15
Sortino 8.24110/10
$+0.0282 per $1 invested1.4/10
HHI 26 (1513 markets)10/10
188/302 profitable days (62%)8.1/10
Max DD 11% of peak ($10,054 / $88,488)10/10

Badges

12
Sniper
Win rate 61%
Profitable
PnL $+72,762
Contrarian
53% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
7% sells
DCA Master
Avg 27.6 entries/market
Whale
$3,130,865 invested
Consistent
188/302 profitable days
High Roller
$2,744/day
Cool Head
Max DD 11%
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
78% maker orders

Categories

5
SPORTS#1,107$70,447Vol: $8,155,453
💰 FINANCE#4,197$1,031Vol: $6,207
CRYPTO#26,550$1,342Vol: $5,351
🏛️ POLITICS#215,418$5Vol: $3,491
📈 ECONOMICS#662,205$-66Vol: $3,000

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$72,762
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,177,486
Total Redeem
$34
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1514
total markets
Trades
37741B / 2903S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~332d

Periods

#2
Today
$16
Vol: $4,880
Week
$-79
Vol: $39,725
Month
$1,758
Vol: $65,695
All Time
$72,762
Vol: $8,177,486

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
61%
918W / 594L events
Realized PnL
$72,762
Win Rate
61%
918W / 594L
Profit Factor
1.35x
Avg Win
$369
Avg Loss
$-428

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $25,042 (0.3441696233511926% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?$9,404
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$7,837
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-04?$7,801
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$6,299
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?$6,013
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?$5,494
Will England win on 2026-06-23?$5,323
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30?$4,396
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$3,869
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$3,690

Top Losers

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$-7,591
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?$-5,332
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?$-5,004
Will West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?$-4,812
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$-4,778
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?$-4,516
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4,337
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-16?$-4,319
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?$-4,075
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?$-4,040

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.212
Sortino
0.309
HHI
25
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.027
Kelly %
6.1%
Half-Kelly
3.0%
Top-1 market
0.9%
Top-5 markets
3.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
35.6
Active
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
10s
between trades
Avg Gap
12.2m
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.21
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
24 min
Avg Trades / Session
113.9

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 10s — suspiciously fastCV 2.21 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock36 trades/day — high frequency1.3 markets/day — normal78% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
27.61
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.6%
Mid (20-55c)36.3%
High (>55c)47.1%

Sessions

#12
1/25/2026, 5:25:32 PM263 trades$48,72660 min
1/6/2026, 9:07:41 PM195 trades$29,48443 min
6/24/2026, 3:37:17 AM156 trades$26,80820 min
4/13/2026, 7:26:39 PM162 trades$26,75646 min
6/25/2026, 8:02:08 PM122 trades$25,81436 min
2/1/2026, 5:38:08 PM97 trades$25,18631 min
1/20/2026, 6:06:32 PM150 trades$24,11517 min
3/17/2026, 9:21:53 PM204 trades$23,17024 min
3/17/2026, 8:17:11 PM258 trades$21,98631 min
1/11/2026, 4:32:20 PM162 trades$21,37447 min
3/3/2026, 9:20:07 PM183 trades$21,08549 min
2/27/2026, 9:05:43 PM168 trades$20,34344 min
2/22/2026, 5:52:26 PM73 trades$19,87117 min
1/31/2026, 8:06:20 PM114 trades$19,43041 min
12/27/2025, 6:34:49 PM140 trades$19,19252 min
6/24/2026, 2:03:47 AM171 trades$19,10247 min
1/9/2026, 8:24:28 PM72 trades$18,99214 min
12/26/2025, 8:01:57 PM82 trades$18,54339 min
2/18/2026, 6:11:34 PM36 trades$18,5005 min
1/7/2026, 9:32:05 PM1 trades$18,0650 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-28
05-31
11-09
01-14
03-06
05-15
08-29
09-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 27 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
7.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 27.61/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.6 / M36.3 / H47.1