@ithinkthisischills
#111,1371000x92f0c4fb00faac584476fbbb41681e4270d60451
~52d· 146 markets · 854 tradesVol: $67,6252026-09-10 22:02:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
100
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
74% (96/130)20/20
9.72x (win $22,703 / loss $2,335)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.98415/15
Sortino 75.27610/10
$+0.5440 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 478 (130 markets)10/10
32/40 profitable days (80%)10/10
Max DD 4% of peak ($860 / $20,367)10/10
Badges
8Sniper
Win rate 74%
Profitable
PnL $+574
DCA Master
Avg 7.5 entries/market
Consistent
32/40 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 4%
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
80% maker orders
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#20,429$832Vol: $46,226
⚽ SPORTS#1,811,211$-440Vol: $12,696
📈 ECONOMICS#591,081$-7Vol: $2,680
🎭 CULTURE#23,950$82Vol: $2,588
💰 FINANCE#25,916$52Vol: $2,089
₿ CRYPTO#219,421$13Vol: $690
💻 TECH#11,604$30Vol: $616
🌤️ WEATHER#62,482$1Vol: $10
📢 MENTIONS#41,123$1Vol: $10
Overview
#1Net PnL
$574
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$67,625
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
146
total markets
Trades
686B / 168S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~52d
Periods
#2Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $530
Month
$-0
Vol: $530
All Time
$574
Vol: $67,625
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
74%
96W / 34L events
Realized PnL
$574
Win Rate
74%
96W / 34L
Profit Factor
9.72x
Avg Win
$236
Avg Loss
$-69
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $16,765 (29.198436057750918% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$11,939
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$3,123
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$1,704
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$1,027
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$993
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$786
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$351
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$331
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$303
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by June 30, 2026?$251
Top Losers
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-930
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?$-317
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-181
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$-174
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-128
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$-92
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$-64
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$-59
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?$-49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-43
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.258
Sortino
1.869
HHI
818
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.433
Kelly %
43.3%
Half-Kelly
21.7%
Top-1 market
13.5%
Top-5 markets
55.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
8.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.3
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 628s — normal for humanCV 1.84 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal1.5 markets/day — normal80% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 13:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.49
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)5.7%
Mid (20-55c)20.1%
High (>55c)74.2%
Sessions
#126/8/2026, 6:54:09 AM17 trades$1,82628 min
7/29/2026, 1:23:44 PM38 trades$1,4394 min
6/12/2026, 8:32:48 AM15 trades$1,2479 min
7/4/2026, 7:02:29 PM3 trades$1,1240 min
6/26/2026, 12:53:49 AM11 trades$1,0773 min
6/14/2026, 10:58:00 PM7 trades$1,0291 min
7/28/2026, 9:46:41 AM4 trades$9670 min
6/23/2026, 12:04:16 PM2 trades$7940 min
6/23/2026, 3:58:22 AM1 trades$7920 min
7/28/2026, 11:28:14 PM1 trades$7420 min
6/29/2026, 12:07:01 PM8 trades$73611 min
6/24/2026, 11:49:32 PM12 trades$71611 min
6/26/2026, 8:57:29 PM4 trades$7070 min
6/18/2026, 3:35:35 PM1 trades$7060 min
7/28/2026, 3:23:26 PM2 trades$6810 min
6/29/2026, 10:58:20 AM4 trades$6601 min
6/25/2026, 9:56:56 PM11 trades$6241 min
6/10/2026, 2:53:39 PM6 trades$6006 min
7/29/2026, 10:38:12 AM6 trades$5829 min
7/1/2026, 1:32:11 PM1 trades$5780 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-06
06-13
06-23
06-29
07-06
07-12
07-20
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 5 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
19.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.49/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.7 / M20.1 / H74.2