@jam516

#3,064,81023

0x4e8deac8c35ff5321fe8a0a9fb6dfc4b0bbf3b13

~166d· 301 markets · 1824 tradesVol: $244,1432026-08-23 11:04:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (127/284)7.4/20
0.65x (win $14,304 / loss $21,971)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.3400/15
Sortino -1.4260/10
$-0.0713 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 205 (284 markets)10/10
66/129 profitable days (51%)5.3/10
Max DD 296% of peak ($11,889 / $4,016)0/10

Badges

3
Whale
$107,550 invested
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
₿ CRYPTO#1,625,718$-704Vol: $95,214
🏛️ POLITICS#1,600,087$-419Vol: $69,425
🌤️ WEATHER#302,371$-1,471Vol: $60,968
🎭 CULTURE#15,716$166Vol: $6,728
📢 MENTIONS#173,899$-302Vol: $5,064
💻 TECH#261,923$-643Vol: $4,221
📈 ECONOMICS#682,718$-655Vol: $1,621
⚽ SPORTS#75,950$280Vol: $663
💰 FINANCE#443,290$-1Vol: $240

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,748
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$244,143
Total Redeem
$4,149
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
301
total markets
Trades
860B / 964S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~166d

Periods

#2
Today
$19
Vol: $0
Week
$-101
Vol: $0
Month
$-741
Vol: $18,734
All Time
$-3,748
Vol: $244,143

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
127W / 157L events
Realized PnL
$-3,030
Win Rate
45%
127W / 157L
Profit Factor
0.65x
Avg Win
$113
Avg Loss
$-164

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,120 (1.3597253853516849% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$1,860
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$1,160
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$1,100
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$938
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$651
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?$475
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$462
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$385
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$343
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?$326

Top Losers

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?$-6,014
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-5,879
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?$-1,000
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$-800
Will Donald Trump issue fewer than 15 executive orders in May?$-700
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$-697
Will Ethereum hit $3,300 in December?$-584
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$-580
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?$-489
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-471

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.070
Sortino
-0.052
HHI
290
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.062
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.9%
Top-5 markets
25.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.6

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 258s — normal for humanCV 2.75 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.82
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.4%
Mid (20-55c)33.3%
High (>55c)54.3%

Sessions

#12
1/26/2026, 2:15:19 PM1 trades$4,3200 min
11/23/2024, 7:08:45 PM2 trades$4,0071 min
6/19/2026, 1:50:26 PM97 trades$3,36515 min
12/6/2024, 4:28:29 PM4 trades$3,1613 min
6/4/2026, 6:32:57 AM10 trades$3,1261 min
1/10/2025, 3:41:10 AM4 trades$3,0898 min
5/28/2026, 5:55:36 AM20 trades$3,0068 min
12/6/2024, 2:34:04 PM2 trades$2,9950 min
12/1/2024, 5:30:44 AM2 trades$2,7754 min
5/18/2026, 3:45:43 AM7 trades$2,4441 min
11/26/2024, 5:55:42 AM2 trades$2,3961 min
12/28/2024, 8:26:02 AM1 trades$2,3910 min
1/18/2025, 3:44:09 PM3 trades$2,3745 min
12/20/2024, 4:02:12 AM2 trades$2,3161 min
6/1/2026, 6:21:31 AM4 trades$2,3070 min
6/19/2026, 5:14:07 AM11 trades$2,1354 min
3/25/2026, 12:06:21 PM1 trades$2,0700 min
12/6/2024, 4:08:44 PM1 trades$2,0620 min
12/5/2024, 12:05:23 PM1 trades$2,0000 min
11/21/2024, 10:17:37 PM1 trades$2,0000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-12
01-23
03-11
04-20
05-19
07-07
08-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 38 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
6% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.82/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.4 / M33.3 / H54.3