@jaredg

#2,860,14836

0x36c2318e72cb80d60a8eb6474ea134b03e8a2b8c

~54d· 1171 markets · 3019 tradesVol: $72,1802026-08-04 18:57:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

36
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

81% (946/1170)20/20
0.94x (win $7,215 / loss $7,713)1.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.1470/15
Sortino -2.6860/10
$-0.0126 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 14 (1170 markets)10/10
25/53 profitable days (47%)4.3/10
Max DD 913% of peak ($853 / $93)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 81%
Diamond Hands
7% sells
Win Streak
34 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
🌤️ WEATHER#295,865$-580Vol: $69,544
🏛️ POLITICS#1,580,559$-302Vol: $1,996
💰 FINANCE#8,894$340Vol: $640

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-541
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$72,180
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1171
total markets
Trades
2799B / 220S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~54d

Periods

#2
Month
$30
Vol: $0
All Time
$-541
Vol: $72,180

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
81%
946W / 224L events
Realized PnL
$-541
Win Rate
81%
946W / 224L
Profit Factor
0.94x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-34

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $363 (0.6703243922264095% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$261
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 48°F or higher on February 13?$102

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C or higher on April 1?$-120
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on February 14?$-100
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 17?$-100
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 14?$-100
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on March 14?$-100
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 24-25°F on March 17?$-100
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 14?$-99
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 36-37°F on March 14?$-99
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 48-49°F on March 17?$-94
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C on April 2?$-90

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.111
Sortino
-0.130
HHI
12
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.013
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.8%
Top-5 markets
1.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
22.9
Active
Markets / Day
8.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
23.8m
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.59
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
11 min
Avg Trades / Session
31.5

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 62s — normal for humanCV 1.59 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock23 trades/day — high frequency8.9 markets/day — normal69% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.56
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.4%
Mid (20-55c)1.5%
High (>55c)98.1%

Sessions

#12
6/24/2026, 5:59:44 PM22 trades$1,9610 min
3/12/2026, 1:31:33 PM76 trades$1,20949 min
3/24/2026, 12:01:07 AM64 trades$1,10413 min
3/31/2026, 1:17:59 PM60 trades$1,07727 min
4/1/2026, 2:25:09 PM102 trades$1,0336 min
3/14/2026, 7:51:09 PM55 trades$94115 min
3/23/2026, 1:10:01 PM40 trades$87718 min
3/30/2026, 1:20:04 AM56 trades$82032 min
3/13/2026, 1:41:29 PM39 trades$81723 min
3/21/2026, 12:19:27 AM42 trades$74524 min
3/15/2026, 5:19:05 PM49 trades$72429 min
3/26/2026, 7:18:31 PM26 trades$6844 min
3/16/2026, 12:14:11 AM18 trades$6421 min
3/21/2026, 1:09:03 PM33 trades$61810 min
6/17/2026, 6:41:41 PM10 trades$6150 min
3/25/2026, 1:57:15 AM25 trades$6112 min
3/26/2026, 12:00:39 AM29 trades$6105 min
3/8/2026, 5:32:13 PM36 trades$55218 min
3/17/2026, 4:07:29 PM25 trades$54513 min
3/22/2026, 1:08:03 PM29 trades$5275 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-13
02-22
03-02
03-11
03-21
03-30
04-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 49 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
96% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
7.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.56/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.4 / M1.5 / H98.1