@jesus911

#3,056,82538

0x8c8abe4b2a74a8b8c894b9acc88df3309c01e62a

~111d· 111 markets · 672 tradesVol: $738,1092026-08-04 21:51:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (54/103)11.2/20
1.11x (win $61,288 / loss $55,261)3.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.3817.2/15
Sortino 0.7027/10
$+0.0297 per $1 invested1.5/10
HHI 2271 (103 markets)1.1/10
33/62 profitable days (53%)5.8/10
Max DD 143% of peak ($26,737 / $18,648)0/10

Badges

5
Lottery Player
33% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 5.8 entries/market
Whale
$203,008 invested
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,638,521$-11,483Vol: $721,679
🎭 CULTURE#3,858$1,484Vol: $7,705
CRYPTO#22,777$1,698Vol: $4,276
📈 ECONOMICS#669,204$-207Vol: $2,514
SPORTS#1,806,075$-588Vol: $1,935

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-9,096
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$738,109
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
111
total markets
Trades
404B / 268S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~111d

Periods

#2
Today
$-343
Vol: $0
Week
$-379
Vol: $3,125
Month
$-774
Vol: $21,914
All Time
$-9,096
Vol: $738,109

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
52%
54W / 49L events
Realized PnL
$-9,096
Win Rate
52%
54W / 49L
Profit Factor
1.11x
Avg Win
$1,135
Avg Loss
$-1,151

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $41,699 (4.584133381264752% of PnL)

Top Winners

US forces enter Iran by April 30?$31,182
Trump nominates Tulsi Gabbard to Cabinet?$5,918
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$4,599
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?$3,197
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$2,514
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?$1,696
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$1,346
Will Iran close its airspace by February 28, 2026?$978
Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? $842
US military action against Iran before July?$766

Top Losers

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$-15,246
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June  23?$-10,877
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?$-10,531
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?$-4,049
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,993
Israel strike on Iran on June 29?$-1,735
Israel strike on Iran on June 30?$-1,320
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-1,010
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$-1,001
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?$-832

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.020
Sortino
0.028
HHI
1670
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.026
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
37%
Top-5 markets
65.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 262s — normal for humanCV 3.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.84
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)32.7%
Mid (20-55c)22.5%
High (>55c)44.8%

Sessions

#12
4/5/2026, 9:06:41 AM2 trades$35,6960 min
4/4/2026, 11:54:15 PM19 trades$28,2650 min
3/29/2026, 10:53:06 PM2 trades$27,2111 min
4/5/2026, 1:54:25 AM1 trades$24,6320 min
8/1/2026, 4:24:02 PM12 trades$16,6140 min
6/23/2025, 5:07:47 PM7 trades$16,26210 min
4/2/2026, 2:21:25 PM2 trades$16,1290 min
3/17/2026, 4:12:17 PM3 trades$14,3833 min
6/23/2025, 9:26:09 AM1 trades$13,5080 min
7/29/2026, 11:36:33 PM34 trades$10,7264 min
7/30/2026, 5:46:17 PM14 trades$8,1832 min
4/6/2026, 1:33:15 AM21 trades$6,7270 min
6/22/2025, 3:34:06 PM1 trades$6,0000 min
3/12/2025, 12:34:02 AM1 trades$5,8270 min
6/23/2025, 5:24:27 PM9 trades$5,3823 min
11/9/2024, 2:50:33 PM1 trades$5,0000 min
6/22/2025, 10:07:40 AM3 trades$3,9603 min
12/19/2024, 8:41:42 PM1 trades$3,9530 min
7/9/2026, 11:53:08 PM18 trades$3,6330 min
3/5/2026, 10:47:43 PM1 trades$3,5000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-12
02-21
04-25
01-13
02-15
03-08
07-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 287 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.84/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L32.7 / M22.5 / H44.8