@jimmer-fredette
#68,905280xdff848bc245f1db1f8ad42b630a506955e213c8b
~79d· 262 markets · 1212 tradesVol: $129,3242026-08-06 07:09:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
53% (133/249)11.7/20
0.95x (win $13,261 / loss $13,886)1.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4740/15
Sortino -0.6480/10
$-0.0182 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 112 (249 markets)10/10
34/69 profitable days (49%)4.8/10
Max DD 185% of peak ($3,425 / $1,854)0/10
Badges
5Profitable
PnL $+1,310
Contrarian
67% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 5.1 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
5⚽ SPORTS#1,786,943$-401Vol: $78,128
🎭 CULTURE#3,986$1,413Vol: $43,439
📈 ECONOMICS#42,440$10Vol: $4,000
📢 MENTIONS#3,360$273Vol: $594
🏛️ POLITICS#110,952$32Vol: $163
Overview
#1Net PnL
$1,337
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$129,324
Total Redeem
$6,433
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
262
total markets
Trades
978B / 234S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~79d
Periods
#2Today
$-14
Vol: $471
Week
$224
Vol: $10,822
Month
$903
Vol: $10,822
All Time
$1,337
Vol: $129,324
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
53%
133W / 116L events
Realized PnL
$1,310
Win Rate
53%
133W / 116L
Profit Factor
0.95x
Avg Win
$100
Avg Loss
$-123
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,231 (1.7022184235227678% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?$1,018
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$624
Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 54m?$589
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines$451
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche$330
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Toronto Tempo$304
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score$304
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?$303
New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces$303
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5$301
Top Losers
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-949
Knicks vs. Spurs$-660
Knicks vs. 76ers$-600
Will "I Can Only Imagine 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 8.5m?$-537
Cavaliers vs. Raptors$-480
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?$-442
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5$-350
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 15.5$-345
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)$-328
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)$-325
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.025
Sortino
-0.032
HHI
97
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.019
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.9%
Top-5 markets
12.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
7.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.5
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 268s — normal for humanCV 2.17 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal1.5 markets/day — normal67% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.08
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)29.1%
Mid (20-55c)38.1%
High (>55c)32.7%
Sessions
#127/30/2026, 9:10:59 PM9 trades$2,3271 min
8/5/2026, 9:15:17 PM5 trades$2,0001 min
8/4/2026, 8:44:39 PM29 trades$1,6204 min
4/10/2026, 5:35:41 PM3 trades$1,0530 min
8/5/2026, 10:33:50 PM3 trades$1,0000 min
5/8/2026, 3:03:55 PM6 trades$8902 min
3/31/2026, 3:58:05 PM16 trades$8340 min
7/29/2026, 6:27:02 PM18 trades$7577 min
3/3/2026, 3:01:45 AM10 trades$7449 min
5/7/2026, 5:10:31 PM12 trades$6672 min
4/25/2026, 3:09:28 PM4 trades$6301 min
5/7/2026, 6:55:52 PM2 trades$6000 min
3/31/2026, 3:42:43 PM17 trades$5602 min
3/8/2026, 12:02:29 AM17 trades$55519 min
4/10/2026, 9:57:21 PM13 trades$55018 min
3/22/2026, 8:59:47 PM4 trades$5024 min
4/25/2026, 1:16:38 AM1 trades$4960 min
3/21/2026, 8:01:27 PM3 trades$4823 min
4/23/2026, 4:34:22 AM4 trades$4821 min
3/31/2026, 2:41:47 PM2 trades$4800 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-13
03-06
03-18
03-30
04-26
05-13
06-28
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 54 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
19.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.08/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L29.1 / M38.1 / H32.7