@johnnyappleseed

#3,044,3411

0xa7e63d9fb0df3d3076853b9953c8acf6e2bd68a0

~12d· 12 markets · 71 tradesVol: $53,6372026-09-21 19:33:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

1
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

18% (2/11)0/20
0.02x (win $28 / loss $1,567)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -15.5210/15
Sortino -12.0500/10
$-0.8324 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2394 (11 markets)0.5/10
2/7 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($1,538 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
79% entries < $0.20

Categories

3
⚽ SPORTS#1,856,631$-801Vol: $50,889
🏛️ POLITICS#1,610,638$-673Vol: $1,953
📈 ECONOMICS#664,695$-65Vol: $795

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,538
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$53,637
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
12
total markets
Trades
24B / 47S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d

Periods

#2
Today
$-7
Vol: $0
Week
$-55
Vol: $0
Month
$-48
Vol: $13,768
All Time
$-1,538
Vol: $53,637

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
18%
2W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$-1,539
Win Rate
18%
2W / 9L
Profit Factor
0.02x
Avg Win
$14
Avg Loss
$-261

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $28 (0.018320422169075593% of PnL)

Top Winners

Notre Dame vs. Miami$19
LSU vs. Clemson$9

Top Losers

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-673
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?$-575
Will the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025?$-249
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$-50
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$-15
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.752
Sortino
-0.783
HHI
2499
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.889
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
36.4%
Top-5 markets
86.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
44s
between trades
Avg Gap
3.7h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
15
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.7

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 44s — normal for humanCV 1.00 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours12/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal7% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.18
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)79.2%
Mid (20-55c)20.8%
High (>55c)0%

Sessions

#12
8/31/2026, 7:04:22 PM23 trades$5040 min
8/31/2026, 6:50:31 PM20 trades$4410 min
10/29/2024, 1:56:10 PM1 trades$2880 min
11/13/2024, 2:03:53 PM1 trades$2490 min
9/8/2025, 10:04:22 PM6 trades$2132 min
10/30/2024, 4:38:48 AM1 trades$2010 min
8/22/2025, 2:48:19 AM5 trades$2001 min
8/22/2025, 2:03:35 AM2 trades$2002 min
10/31/2024, 12:20:48 AM1 trades$1830 min
9/9/2025, 5:32:16 AM2 trades$1151 min
8/31/2025, 12:25:01 AM2 trades$1121 min
9/10/2025, 11:17:41 PM1 trades$1000 min
9/1/2025, 3:49:32 AM1 trades$330 min
9/1/2026, 6:15:07 AM4 trades$281 min
8/31/2025, 11:28:40 PM1 trades$140 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-31
11-13
08-31
09-01
09-08
09-09
09-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
66.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.18/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L79.2 / M20.8 / H0