Polydata
justdance

@justdance

#7276

0xcc500cbcc8b7cf5bd21975ebbea34f21b5644c82

842d· 19893 markets · 13875 tradesVol: $113,728,8122026-07-10T08:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

76
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 28%0/20
Profit Factor 11.05x15/15
Sharpe 0.56311/15
Sortino 7.96110/10
EV $+9.46010/10
HHI 31810/10
Profit Days 77%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

Justdance is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranked #72 globally by net profit. Over 901 days, they have executed 13,875 trades across 1,171 markets, generating a net PnL of nearly $2 million from a total volume exceeding $113 million. Their portfolio value stands at about $246,000, supported by a strong win rate of 77.9% and a Smart Score of 76/100, indicating very good overall performance.

Justdance’s trading style appears diversified and consistent, with a preference for long-term holding rather than frequent selling, as evidenced by a 0% sell rate and badges like Diamond Hands and DCA Master. Their approach includes both manual and automated elements, reflected in a bot score of 50/100. The trader’s Sharpe ratio of 0.56 suggests moderate risk-adjusted returns, while a profit factor of 0.02 is unusually low and may indicate some data anomaly or unique risk management tactics. Justdance tends to avoid weather markets entirely and maintains a contrarian stance, often capitalizing on less popular positions.

Key strengths for justdance include a stable equity trend with no significant drawdown duration, a high win rate, and a large volume of trades that contribute to consistent profitability. However, the low profit factor and semi-bot trading style may introduce risks, such as overreliance on automated strategies or exposure to market conditions not well captured by the data. Overall, justdance presents a solid, disciplined profile with a balanced risk approach on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Profitable
PnL $+1,957,375
Contrarian
56% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 11.8 entries/market
Win Streak
21 wins in a row
Whale
$3,471,959
Consistent
119/154 days
High Roller
$3,853/day
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

7
CRYPTO#3$1,896,541Vol: $108,793,959
🏛️ POLITICS#9,854$2,563Vol: $2,724,048
SPORTS#1,760$33,786Vol: $1,698,397
📈 ECONOMICS#213$32,068Vol: $265,785
💰 FINANCE#645,003$-3,548Vol: $119,333
🎭 CULTURE#7,556$530Vol: $93,631
🌤️ WEATHER#16,317$18Vol: $849

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,957,375
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$113,728,812
Total Redeem
$179,100
Portfolio
$246,065
Predictions
19893
total markets
Trades
13875B / 0S
Daily Volume
$3,853
Account Age
842d
since Mar 22, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$-618
Vol: $33,415
Week
$26,702
Vol: $658,006
Month
$72,355
Vol: $1,204,271
All Time
$1,957,375
Vol: $113,728,812

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
18%
186W / 844L events
Realized PnL
$4,871,240
Win Rate
78%
155W / 44L
Profit Factor
0.02x
Avg Win
$222
Avg Loss
$-35,031

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on July 6?$4,598
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on July 6?$3,633
Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$1,555
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$1,504
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$1,400
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$1,255
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$1,017
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on July 5?$1,012
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on July 5?$975
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$907

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$-387,862
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?$-208,400
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$-192,114
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?$-92,771
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?$-86,208
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?$-71,552
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?$-70,881
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?$-64,663
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?$-59,889
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?$-49,167

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.564
Sortino
7.961
HHI
318
Diversified
EV per $1
$9.460
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.5%
Top-5 markets
31.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
61.7
Very active
Markets / Day
5.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
23.1m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 112s — typical for humanSize CV 2.43 — diverse, typical for human14% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.10 — human randomness62 trades/day — mass trading1267 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.8
Heavy DCA
<=1
661 entries
<=2
809 entries
<=5
890 entries
<=10
969 entries
<=20
1050 entries
<=50
1118 entries
>50
53 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18.3%
Mid (20-55c)45.1%
High (>55c)36.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 37.2%

Other$-1,506,915

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
1037

Single bracket

<=1
1002 brackets
<=2
1013 brackets
<=3
1018 brackets
<=4
1026 brackets
<=5
1031 brackets
<=8
1032 brackets
>8
5 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/27/2025, 8:17:17 AM1 trades$00 min
11/27/2025, 9:34:15 AM1 trades$360 min
11/27/2025, 11:05:45 AM2 trades$441 min
11/28/2025, 6:43:53 AM1 trades$10 min
11/28/2025, 8:14:43 AM9 trades$6371 min
11/28/2025, 8:46:49 AM13 trades$1,0131 min
11/28/2025, 9:00:29 AM7 trades$503 min
11/28/2025, 9:13:39 AM5 trades$3690 min
11/28/2025, 9:25:59 AM2 trades$1450 min
11/28/2025, 9:33:27 AM2 trades$113 min
11/28/2025, 10:04:53 AM2 trades$1180 min
11/28/2025, 10:51:45 AM1 trades$40 min
11/28/2025, 10:57:45 AM1 trades$40 min
11/28/2025, 11:42:45 AM2 trades$2,2201 min
11/28/2025, 1:22:13 PM1 trades$100 min
11/28/2025, 1:47:53 PM1 trades$70 min
11/28/2025, 2:03:37 PM1 trades$100 min
11/28/2025, 2:27:05 PM1 trades$560 min
11/28/2025, 2:51:49 PM1 trades$330 min
11/28/2025, 5:23:13 PM2 trades$351 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
12-30
08-11
12-22
05-04
06-15
07-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event