kaedama

@kaedama

#37,93979

0x98731351299c30f8b2352f90ee206612acec7cc5

~110d· 141 markets · 455 tradesVol: $171,5532026-10-08 02:10:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

79
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

73% (101/139)20/20
1.63x (win $5,182 / loss $3,181)10.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.69515/15
Sortino 3.30410/10
$+0.0208 per $1 invested1/10
HHI 190 (139 markets)10/10
59/76 profitable days (78%)10/10
Max DD 59% of peak ($1,188 / $2,001)2.1/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 73%
Profitable
PnL $+2,999
Whale
$96,180 invested
Consistent
59/76 profitable days
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#16,116$1,222Vol: $67,849
₿ CRYPTO#37,591$606Vol: $27,366
🎭 CULTURE#18,314$123Vol: $24,440
💻 TECH#1,977$676Vol: $16,666
📈 ECONOMICS#7,593$231Vol: $15,522
💰 FINANCE#17,142$112Vol: $10,506
📢 MENTIONS#170,205$-110Vol: $3,831
🌤️ WEATHER#7,068$98Vol: $3,674
⚽ SPORTS#178,063$41Vol: $1,699

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,999
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$171,553
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
141
total markets
Trades
230B / 225S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~110d

Periods

#2
Today
$-28
Vol: $2,110
Week
$3,258
Vol: $5,957
Month
$331
Vol: $9,204
All Time
$2,999
Vol: $171,553

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
73%
101W / 38L events
Realized PnL
$2,999
Win Rate
73%
101W / 38L
Profit Factor
1.63x
Avg Win
$51
Avg Loss
$-84

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,074 (0.35815784911246545% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Jeannette Jara win at least 32% of votes in the first round?$401
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$391
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$282
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$234
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?$201
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$190
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$184
Will Malta qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?$179
Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?$137
Ethereum Up or Down on May 16?$133

Top Losers

Will FAST win the most seats in the 2025 Samoa Legislative Assembly election?$-712
Will HRPP win the most seats in the 2025 Samoa Legislative Assembly election?$-650
Trudeau resigns before February?$-489
Will Armenia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?$-400
Will Trump say "Apple" this week?$-100
Will Trump say "Green new scam" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?$-100
Will egg prices be more than $6.00 in March?$-100
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times March 28 - April 4?$-98
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?$-93
Cavaliers vs. 76ers$-74

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.140
Sortino
0.091
HHI
167
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.021
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.3%
Top-5 markets
15.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.2h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.51
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 790s — normal for humanCV 1.51 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal32% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.08
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3%
Mid (20-55c)5.2%
High (>55c)91.7%

Sessions

#12
8/15/2025, 2:48:56 PM2 trades$4,0001 min
8/28/2025, 6:05:35 PM1 trades$3,2620 min
8/28/2025, 6:49:45 PM3 trades$3,2623 min
8/18/2025, 1:40:08 AM1 trades$3,2000 min
3/17/2026, 11:47:15 PM2 trades$3,0701 min
12/9/2025, 8:50:30 PM1 trades$2,8860 min
8/8/2025, 3:01:01 AM1 trades$2,8290 min
10/1/2026, 3:43:53 PM7 trades$2,6991 min
11/20/2025, 6:58:33 PM1 trades$2,6950 min
7/13/2025, 6:45:42 PM2 trades$2,6171 min
7/1/2025, 7:14:55 PM1 trades$2,6020 min
7/21/2025, 5:15:05 AM1 trades$2,6010 min
6/24/2025, 2:09:09 AM1 trades$2,4060 min
6/25/2025, 1:15:11 PM1 trades$2,4060 min
6/19/2025, 2:47:40 AM1 trades$2,4050 min
6/19/2025, 2:54:42 AM1 trades$2,4050 min
6/26/2025, 5:18:07 PM1 trades$2,4010 min
6/16/2025, 4:53:08 AM1 trades$2,3960 min
6/9/2025, 2:14:18 PM1 trades$2,3160 min
5/13/2025, 5:50:14 PM5 trades$2,1461 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-31
02-03
03-19
04-10
05-12
07-05
11-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 10 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.08/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3 / M5.2 / H91.7