kairoven

@kairoven

#2,163,80234

0x2bcf4ee23664daaaefbeec4ab2c96967d3fc5f94

~37d· 37 markets · 78 tradesVol: $33,0182026-10-08 03:59:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

34
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (21/35)15/20
0.95x (win $41 / loss $43)1.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.3650/15
Sortino -0.4910/10
$-0.0179 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 380 (35 markets)10/10
21/35 profitable days (60%)7.5/10
Max DD 394% of peak ($16 / $4)0/10

Badges

2
Sniper
Win rate 60%
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

2
💻 TECH#189,354$-1Vol: $32,680
⚽ SPORTS#1,431,207$-15Vol: $158

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-23
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$33,018
Total Redeem
$10
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
37
total markets
Trades
50B / 28S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~37d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
21W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$-18
Win Rate
60%
21W / 14L
Profit Factor
0.95x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $16 (0.9209486166007904% of PnL)

Top Winners

Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TEAM ASCEND (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group B$8
UFC Fight Night: Eric McConico vs. Rodolfo Vieira (null, Prelims)$4
UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)$4
Counter-Strike: SSSghoul vs Vlad to the Bone666 (BO3) - UKIC Masters Division Playoffs$3
Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings$2
Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Level UP (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B$2
Birmingham: Rebeka Masarova vs Mary Stoiana$2
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$2
Besiktas vs. Fenerbahce$2
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha$2

Top Losers

Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs ReThink (BO3) - United21 Group D$-7
Pelicans vs. Rockets$-6
Washington Mystics vs. Minnesota Lynx$-5
LoL: MVK Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season$-3
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group A$-3
AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Grand Rapids Griffins$-3
Rainbow Six Siege: My Queen vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - CN League Stage 1 Group Stage$-3
LoL: RAYN Clocks vs FENNEL (BO3) - LJL Regular Season$-2
KHL: Sibir Novosibirsk vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk$-2
UFC Fight Night: Amanda Lemos vs. Alexia Thainara (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.019
Sortino
-0.030
HHI
187
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.026
Kelly %
8.9%
Half-Kelly
4.5%
Top-1 market
6.5%
Top-5 markets
20.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
30s
between trades
Avg Gap
8.3h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.28
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
38
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 30s — normal for humanCV 1.28 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern12/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal53% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20%
Mid (20-55c)20%
High (>55c)60%

Sessions

#12
8/29/2026, 5:13:30 AM5 trades$461 min
4/29/2026, 8:13:44 PM2 trades$90 min
5/12/2026, 7:40:09 PM2 trades$70 min
3/13/2026, 11:49:45 PM1 trades$60 min
5/5/2026, 8:26:36 PM2 trades$50 min
5/7/2026, 7:06:48 PM2 trades$40 min
7/30/2026, 5:18:56 PM2 trades$40 min
6/28/2026, 8:25:53 PM2 trades$40 min
5/10/2026, 6:37:14 PM2 trades$40 min
6/17/2026, 5:53:20 AM2 trades$30 min
4/18/2026, 9:45:34 PM3 trades$30 min
6/27/2026, 7:55:46 PM3 trades$30 min
8/6/2026, 2:19:42 PM2 trades$30 min
6/4/2026, 8:49:37 PM2 trades$30 min
3/14/2026, 10:35:47 PM1 trades$30 min
6/8/2026, 2:16:54 PM2 trades$30 min
6/20/2026, 12:38:52 PM3 trades$30 min
7/14/2026, 8:32:38 PM2 trades$30 min
6/18/2026, 6:07:20 PM3 trades$30 min
8/29/2026, 6:57:04 PM1 trades$30 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-12
03-20
04-18
05-07
06-04
06-18
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 41 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.9% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 2/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L20 / M20 / H60