@kirakisho

#137,21952

0x23d0e7af047aa3a769b9dc9318ae2f8f167a620c

~60d· 85 markets · 616 tradesVol: $51,0342026-09-21 18:02:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

52
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (41/84)9.4/20
1.19x (win $1,484 / loss $1,250)4.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.30015/15
Sortino 2.37710/10
$+0.0295 per $1 invested1.5/10
HHI 1022 (84 markets)7.4/10
15/41 profitable days (37%)1.6/10
Max DD 56% of peak ($222 / $394)2.7/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+320
Lottery Player
72% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 7.4 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
84% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,500,837$-73Vol: $22,809
₿ CRYPTO#1,566,887$-215Vol: $15,888
📢 MENTIONS#170,899$-133Vol: $3,410
🎭 CULTURE#624,741$-4Vol: $3,375
💻 TECH#3,556$259Vol: $1,491
⚽ SPORTS#84,226$212Vol: $1,337
📈 ECONOMICS#296,524$-0Vol: $731
💰 FINANCE#117,867$2Vol: $598

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$320
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$51,034
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
85
total markets
Trades
501B / 115S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~60d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$-74
Vol: $824
Month
$-66
Vol: $1,715
All Time
$320
Vol: $51,034

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
41W / 42L events
Realized PnL
$320
Win Rate
49%
41W / 42L
Profit Factor
1.19x
Avg Win
$36
Avg Loss
$-30

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $690 (2.1537116267449488% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Team Falcons win The International 2025 Tournament?$273
Will Usyk beat Fury?$254
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$162
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$121
Will Trump say "Venezuela" 3 or more times during Arizona rally on October 13?$79
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?$64
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before June?$56
Pakistan military strike on India by Friday?$55
Will Kamala say "border" 3+ times during her Nevada speech?$46
Will Trump say "Congo" during his Wisconsin speech?$35

Top Losers

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$-160
Will Donald Trump say "Mineral" during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?$-144
Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?$-78
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before July?$-75
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$-68
Will Trump say "trans" during Arizona rally on October 13?$-67
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? $-48
Will India invade Pakistan before July?$-39
Will Trump say "illegal alien" during North Carolina town hall?$-39
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$-34

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.067
Sortino
0.129
HHI
982
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.029
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
27.4%
Top-5 markets
49.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 404s — normal for humanCV 3.43 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal84% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.36
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)71.9%
Mid (20-55c)17.2%
High (>55c)11%

Sessions

#12
5/6/2025, 10:16:12 PM2 trades$7910 min
5/6/2025, 11:38:32 PM2 trades$6720 min
5/6/2025, 11:49:06 PM3 trades$6562 min
9/14/2025, 7:08:00 PM3 trades$6312 min
5/18/2025, 1:54:13 PM1 trades$6160 min
5/18/2025, 2:04:29 PM3 trades$6161 min
9/20/2026, 3:10:01 AM11 trades$6121 min
5/6/2025, 11:58:34 PM1 trades$5710 min
5/6/2025, 8:53:52 PM3 trades$5566 min
5/6/2025, 9:05:00 PM7 trades$48412 min
5/6/2025, 11:26:40 PM2 trades$4123 min
4/12/2026, 8:44:23 PM2 trades$3200 min
10/12/2024, 7:45:21 PM2 trades$3031 min
12/21/2024, 5:26:04 PM1 trades$2990 min
9/14/2025, 6:24:02 PM2 trades$2902 min
5/6/2025, 9:48:58 PM1 trades$2760 min
10/12/2024, 7:24:03 PM2 trades$2531 min
6/5/2025, 11:25:54 AM3 trades$2481 min
5/6/2025, 9:25:30 PM1 trades$2410 min
4/13/2026, 3:39:11 PM4 trades$2260 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-10
09-30
10-08
10-14
04-21
05-17
10-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 171 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
18.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.36/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L71.9 / M17.2 / H11