kodan

@kodan

#2,394,79836

0x995acc476d1291feb88cb95aba54f4bf1e16b3fc

~99d· 208 markets · 266 tradesVol: $19,7382026-09-10 23:03:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

36
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

65% (132/202)17.7/20
0.11x (win $6 / loss $57)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.2180/15
Sortino -2.2040/10
$-0.0061 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 737 (202 markets)8.8/10
68/91 profitable days (75%)10/10
Max DD 510500% of peak ($51 / $0)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 65%
Consistent
68/91 profitable days
Win Streak
8 wins in a row

Categories

5
₿ CRYPTO#1,417,206$-49Vol: $12,657
📈 ECONOMICS#530,590$-2Vol: $3,065
🎭 CULTURE#132,652$2Vol: $2,943
🏛️ POLITICS#912,454$-1Vol: $1,052
💻 TECH#58,970$1Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-50
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,738
Total Redeem
$20
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
208
total markets
Trades
212B / 54S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~99d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $6
Month
$1
Vol: $11
All Time
$-50
Vol: $19,738

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
65%
132W / 70L events
Realized PnL
$-50
Win Rate
65%
132W / 70L
Profit Factor
0.11x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1 (0.029817890734440664% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?$1
Will Elon tweet 650 or more times March 21-28?$1
Will Elon tweet 500 or more times June 6–13?$0
Will Elon tweet 295 or more times June 20–27?$0
Will Elon tweet 600 or more times April 4 - 11?$0
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times June 13–20?$0
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times May 9–16?$0
Will Elon tweet 90–104 times August 1–August 8?$0
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 25–August 1?$0
Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 23–30?$0

Top Losers

Will the price of Ethereum be between $4600 and $4700 on August 22?$-46
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025?$-1
Will Elon tweet 1100 or more times Feb 7-14?$-1
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times April 4 - 11?$-1
Will BSW win the most seats in the next German election?$-1
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$-1
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?$-1
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?$-1
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$-1
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.115
Sortino
-0.043
HHI
604
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.006
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.2%
Top-5 markets
42.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.94
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 66s — normal for humanCV 2.94 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal12% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.32
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.9%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)98.1%

Sessions

#12
12/31/2025, 7:32:29 AM3 trades$1,0031 min
12/25/2025, 6:38:17 AM3 trades$1,0033 min
12/27/2025, 9:16:19 AM3 trades$1,0031 min
12/28/2025, 7:23:45 PM2 trades$5031 min
12/21/2025, 6:53:34 PM2 trades$5033 min
12/19/2025, 8:16:01 AM2 trades$5024 min
12/28/2025, 9:20:37 AM1 trades$5020 min
12/27/2025, 7:22:27 PM2 trades$5021 min
12/25/2025, 7:20:13 PM2 trades$5020 min
12/22/2025, 7:36:09 PM2 trades$5024 min
12/21/2025, 7:52:20 AM1 trades$5020 min
12/29/2025, 7:57:19 AM1 trades$5010 min
12/20/2025, 7:18:34 AM1 trades$5010 min
12/22/2025, 8:22:33 AM1 trades$5010 min
12/23/2025, 6:45:19 AM1 trades$5010 min
12/24/2025, 7:18:49 AM1 trades$5010 min
12/26/2025, 7:12:53 AM1 trades$5010 min
12/30/2025, 8:05:31 AM1 trades$5010 min
12/23/2025, 6:54:03 PM1 trades$5010 min
12/19/2025, 7:54:53 PM1 trades$5000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-27
04-16
06-22
09-10
12-22
02-25
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 337 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
20.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.32/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.9 / M0 / H98.1