@kurt85

#591,84140

0x2cc0c9d5297f22465b3a7d33eee430e185f1d826

~35d· 43 markets · 57 tradesVol: $8,8242026-10-08 03:06:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

88% (37/42)20/20
0.70x (win $11 / loss $15)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.1590/15
Sortino -2.2130/10
$-0.0014 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 422 (42 markets)10/10
30/34 profitable days (88%)10/10
Max DD 266% of peak ($9 / $3)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 88%
Profitable
PnL $+3
Consistent
30/34 profitable days
Win Streak
23 wins in a row

Categories

5
₿ CRYPTO#835,739$-1Vol: $8,301
🏛️ POLITICS#799,144$-1Vol: $324
💻 TECH#92,272$0Vol: $25
💰 FINANCE#240,142$0Vol: $25
📈 ECONOMICS#199,318$0Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,824
Total Redeem
$364
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
43
total markets
Trades
43B / 14S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~35d

Periods

#2
Week
$25
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $25
All Time
$3
Vol: $8,824

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
88%
36W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$3
Win Rate
88%
36W / 5L
Profit Factor
0.7x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4 (1.0919540229885056% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?$2
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 30-April 5?$1
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by April 30, 2026?$1
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by March 31, 2026?$1
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?$1
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on October 10?$0
Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 December 15-21?$0
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?$0

Top Losers

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on January 12?$-5
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?$-4
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?$-4
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.111
Sortino
-0.115
HHI
380
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.2%
Top-5 markets
25.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3h
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
44
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 4641s — normal for humanCV 0.58 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern14/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.43
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.3%
Mid (20-55c)2.3%
High (>55c)95.3%

Sessions

#12
5/11/2026, 6:30:40 PM2 trades$2490 min
7/15/2026, 10:36:31 AM2 trades$2120 min
12/29/2025, 10:27:37 AM1 trades$1280 min
12/19/2025, 12:01:56 PM1 trades$1270 min
12/26/2025, 6:36:57 PM1 trades$1260 min
11/22/2025, 12:38:49 PM1 trades$1260 min
11/14/2025, 8:14:00 AM1 trades$1250 min
3/6/2026, 2:47:35 PM1 trades$1230 min
12/6/2025, 10:22:23 AM1 trades$1230 min
10/27/2025, 10:01:21 AM1 trades$1220 min
2/25/2026, 2:25:58 PM1 trades$1220 min
11/25/2025, 1:55:57 PM1 trades$1220 min
10/24/2025, 1:10:17 PM1 trades$1210 min
3/26/2026, 4:09:57 PM1 trades$1210 min
3/30/2026, 10:16:24 AM1 trades$1210 min
2/13/2026, 1:30:13 PM1 trades$1200 min
2/20/2026, 12:16:18 PM1 trades$1200 min
9/19/2025, 12:47:36 PM1 trades$1200 min
11/7/2025, 10:34:37 AM1 trades$1190 min
10/6/2025, 2:08:57 PM1 trades$1180 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-19
10-27
11-25
01-09
02-04
03-26
05-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 101 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
24.6% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.43/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.3 / M2.3 / H95.3