@l3t0

#11,94224

0xd14aa86fa6cac2e09edd9944f5c0c0d48634a8ad

~115d· 109 markets · 1731 tradesVol: $577,2912026-09-21 18:02:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (40/81)9.7/20
0.58x (win $72,813 / loss $125,782)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.4580/15
Sortino -2.6450/10
$-0.2119 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 585 (81 markets)9.6/10
28/57 profitable days (49%)4.8/10
Max DD 632% of peak ($62,945 / $9,966)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+15,215
Contrarian
64% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 21.0 entries/market
Whale
$249,941 invested
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#3,223$12,243Vol: $424,121
📈 ECONOMICS#697,110$-3,573Vol: $113,808
💰 FINANCE#1,282$3,980Vol: $27,337
SPORTS#1,810,737$-341Vol: $4,188
🎭 CULTURE#48,801$20Vol: $3,723
💻 TECH#6,550$92Vol: $1,693

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$12,364
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$577,291
Total Redeem
$266
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
109
total markets
Trades
901B / 830S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~115d

Periods

#2
Today
$369
Vol: $9,974
Week
$-671
Vol: $40,695
Month
$-1,580
Vol: $81,594
All Time
$12,364
Vol: $577,291

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
40W / 41L events
Realized PnL
$15,215
Win Rate
49%
40W / 41L
Profit Factor
0.58x
Avg Win
$1,820
Avg Loss
$-3,068

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $29,258 (1.9229057909054044% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$12,332
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$10,302
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$6,624
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$6,459
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$5,718
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$5,047
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$4,938
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?$3,141
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$3,031
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$2,476

Top Losers

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-38,337
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$-28,422
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$-21,926
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-8,167
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-6,869
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-4,003
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$-2,805
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?$-2,611
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$-2,568
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$-2,535

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.128
Sortino
-0.108
HHI
684
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.195
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16%
Top-5 markets
48.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
71%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.95
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
16.2

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
HIGH
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 270s — normal for humanCV 2.95 — diverse sizes (human-like)71% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
21
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.4%
Mid (20-55c)47.4%
High (>55c)36.2%

Sessions

#12
5/21/2026, 2:17:34 AM83 trades$34,85322 min
6/23/2026, 3:38:47 AM19 trades$26,4494 min
4/11/2026, 1:22:47 AM91 trades$26,26218 min
5/8/2026, 4:24:11 AM74 trades$23,2606 min
7/9/2026, 2:40:11 AM20 trades$21,3341 min
5/14/2026, 2:28:01 AM2 trades$18,7860 min
9/3/2026, 3:31:37 AM9 trades$15,0000 min
5/27/2026, 3:24:58 AM25 trades$11,8558 min
6/18/2026, 3:14:28 AM30 trades$10,0174 min
5/11/2026, 1:15:08 AM13 trades$9,7845 min
5/17/2026, 3:30:50 AM12 trades$8,7973 min
5/7/2026, 2:59:42 AM18 trades$8,5840 min
5/7/2026, 2:51:32 AM2 trades$7,6000 min
4/15/2026, 2:38:24 AM40 trades$6,8067 min
4/1/2026, 1:31:09 PM24 trades$6,6531 min
3/19/2026, 2:56:09 AM6 trades$6,1006 min
4/26/2026, 2:16:16 AM16 trades$6,0925 min
4/27/2026, 2:32:08 AM12 trades$5,7547 min
4/18/2026, 1:13:04 AM22 trades$5,5895 min
3/9/2026, 2:23:01 AM5 trades$5,5108 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-11
02-05
03-06
03-21
04-18
05-07
06-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 40 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 21/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L16.4 / M47.4 / H36.2