@lakemichigan
#7,5461000xcb59c3db857bae4b9dd41385b152c5d607aee21d
~77d· 299 markets · 1434 tradesVol: $197,8012026-08-05 05:03:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
100
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
88% (262/298)20/20
3.97x (win $20,246 / loss $5,095)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.91215/15
Sortino 33.63810/10
$+0.2505 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 152 (298 markets)10/10
61/74 profitable days (82%)10/10
Max DD 7% of peak ($1,120 / $15,151)10/10
Badges
6Sniper
Win rate 88%
Profitable
PnL $+20,908
Whale
$60,487 invested
Consistent
61/74 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 7%
Win Streak
23 wins in a row
Categories
2📢 MENTIONS#92$20,564Vol: $194,856
💰 FINANCE#8,831$344Vol: $2,945
Overview
#1Net PnL
$20,908
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$197,801
Total Redeem
$8,252
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
299
total markets
Trades
504B / 930S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~77d
Periods
#2Today
$44
Vol: $61
Week
$141
Vol: $1,369
Month
$137
Vol: $1,369
All Time
$20,908
Vol: $197,801
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
88%
262W / 36L events
Realized PnL
$20,908
Win Rate
88%
262W / 36L
Profit Factor
3.97x
Avg Win
$77
Avg Loss
$-159
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,536 (0.21697290182363607% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Trump say "Confucius" or "Confucian" during Chinese State Banquet?$2,646
Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" this week? (April 5)$1,122
Will Trump say "Paper" during Chinese State Banquet?$768
Will Leavitt say "Death to America" during the next White House press briefing?$509
Will Trump say "Kamala" or "Harris" this week? (March 8)$498
Will Leavitt say "Ayatollah" or "Supreme Leader" during the next White House press briefing?$467
Will Trump say "Chicken" or "KFC" during Kentucky visit?$459
Will Powell say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during April press conference?$458
Will Trump say "Six Seven" in April?$443
Will Trump say "No No No" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$434
Top Losers
Will Powell say "War" during April press conference?$-1,108
Will Trump say "DoorDash" or "McDonald's" this week? (April 20 - 26)$-812
Will Starmer say "United States" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$-572
Will Trump say "Kamala" this week?$-278
Will Trump say "Shit" this week? (April 20 - 26)$-276
Will Trump say "Daddy" in February?$-267
Will Trump say "Christmas" in May?$-259
Will Trump say "Egg" this week? (March 29)$-259
Will Starmer say "Conservative" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$-255
Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in April?$-169
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.359
Sortino
0.885
HHI
162
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.251
Kelly %
53.3%
Half-Kelly
26.7%
Top-1 market
8.8%
Top-5 markets
18.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
8.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
32s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.89
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.9
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 32s — normal for humanCV 1.89 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity8 trades/day — normal1.7 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 18:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.78
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)1%
Mid (20-55c)10.1%
High (>55c)88.9%
Sessions
#125/14/2026, 10:27:13 AM103 trades$11,3895 min
3/27/2026, 4:45:41 PM19 trades$9,98026 min
4/29/2026, 6:32:14 PM48 trades$6,5956 min
3/24/2026, 6:09:57 PM3 trades$3,9021 min
2/27/2026, 10:30:51 PM7 trades$3,1293 min
3/31/2026, 9:53:25 PM18 trades$2,6921 min
4/8/2026, 5:26:11 PM19 trades$2,6533 min
3/27/2026, 9:35:59 PM11 trades$2,48411 min
3/12/2026, 8:17:45 PM6 trades$2,4822 min
3/9/2026, 8:56:41 PM5 trades$2,4702 min
2/25/2026, 2:23:54 AM10 trades$1,9989 min
4/29/2026, 7:04:10 PM19 trades$1,9910 min
7/29/2026, 6:31:53 PM6 trades$1,8480 min
3/2/2026, 4:58:05 PM16 trades$1,77812 min
4/15/2026, 11:02:30 AM48 trades$1,70012 min
4/28/2026, 7:26:26 PM24 trades$1,6472 min
3/2/2026, 4:49:19 PM10 trades$1,5913 min
2/27/2026, 10:45:57 PM6 trades$1,4621 min
5/1/2026, 8:29:52 PM51 trades$1,46110 min
4/29/2026, 7:14:24 PM12 trades$1,2990 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-16
03-07
03-25
04-23
05-19
06-25
07-29
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 9 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
64.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.78/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1 / M10.1 / H88.9