lamyk

@lamyk

#16,97430

0xc004b035b67be284e0d1db56c39e865df6cac095

~173d· 279 markets · 2310 tradesVol: $249,7852026-08-04 15:06:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

55% (145/264)12.5/20
0.83x (win $20,268 / loss $24,350)0.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.5300/15
Sortino -0.5790/10
$-0.0523 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 326 (264 markets)10/10
74/127 profitable days (58%)7.1/10
Max DD 1450% of peak ($16,544 / $1,141)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+8,406
DCA Master
Avg 8.0 entries/market
Whale
$78,024 invested
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#5,917$5,487Vol: $121,402
💻 TECH#670$2,595Vol: $72,984
💰 FINANCE#15,273$138Vol: $29,557
🎭 CULTURE#601,005$-3Vol: $14,858
SPORTS#96,342$163Vol: $2,656
📈 ECONOMICS#615,687$-15Vol: $2,421
📢 MENTIONS#13,238$24Vol: $2,225
CRYPTO#103,571$85Vol: $2,081
🌤️ WEATHER#208,661$-2Vol: $702

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$8,419
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$249,785
Total Redeem
$289
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
279
total markets
Trades
995B / 1315S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~173d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $1,000
Week
$376
Vol: $3,031
Month
$227
Vol: $7,366
All Time
$8,419
Vol: $249,785

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
55%
145W / 119L events
Realized PnL
$8,406
Win Rate
55%
145W / 119L
Profit Factor
0.83x
Avg Win
$140
Avg Loss
$-215

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,565 (0.8999597921563776% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?$3,158
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$2,419
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?$1,988
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$1,700
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$1,124
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$797
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$790
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?$537
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?$463
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?$419

Top Losers

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$-11,384
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?$-2,483
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$-1,518
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$-1,287
Will Trump visit China by April 30?$-576
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?$-497
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?$-495
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-450
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$-365
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$-327

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.028
Sortino
-0.020
HHI
262
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.056
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.8%
Top-5 markets
26.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.55
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 660s — normal for humanCV 2.55 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — normal1.2 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.01
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.5%
Mid (20-55c)26.7%
High (>55c)50.8%

Sessions

#12
5/19/2026, 1:26:23 PM32 trades$6,6290 min
5/19/2026, 1:35:50 PM17 trades$3,6694 min
5/19/2026, 11:54:35 PM26 trades$3,5032 min
5/19/2026, 2:13:22 PM4 trades$2,8660 min
5/5/2026, 12:47:04 PM39 trades$2,5730 min
6/10/2026, 11:50:57 PM9 trades$2,4350 min
5/5/2026, 4:28:54 PM47 trades$2,38615 min
7/8/2026, 5:12:23 AM6 trades$2,3018 min
6/11/2026, 1:09:51 AM1 trades$2,2760 min
7/31/2026, 5:10:47 PM18 trades$1,9822 min
7/28/2026, 7:09:03 AM7 trades$1,7590 min
5/19/2026, 2:33:19 PM13 trades$1,6740 min
7/28/2026, 4:43:08 PM28 trades$1,6500 min
7/21/2026, 2:26:48 AM13 trades$1,6270 min
6/20/2026, 2:09:49 PM10 trades$1,5530 min
6/6/2026, 3:46:30 PM21 trades$1,5421 min
7/7/2026, 12:48:32 PM6 trades$1,5250 min
7/27/2026, 6:26:22 PM2 trades$1,5050 min
6/16/2026, 12:56:04 PM23 trades$1,4850 min
6/2/2026, 1:07:26 PM4 trades$1,4814 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-07
01-08
02-11
03-21
05-11
06-16
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 42 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.01/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22.5 / M26.7 / H50.8