@larpol

#3,122,66310

0x7551c95723894c890a54feece7f3511a40e6b6b1

~19d· 95 markets · 319 tradesVol: $317,8792026-09-21 19:34:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

29% (27/94)0/20
0.70x (win $7,928 / loss $11,262)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -11.1520/15
Sortino -9.8210/10
$-0.1594 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 238 (94 markets)10/10
2/16 profitable days (12%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($3,530 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
33% entries < $0.20

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,624,505$-1,246Vol: $207,072
₿ CRYPTO#1,688,311$-1,993Vol: $84,829
⚽ SPORTS#1,892,140$-1,837Vol: $20,592
📈 ECONOMICS#652,152$-36Vol: $1,958

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-5,111
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$317,879
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
95
total markets
Trades
231B / 88S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

Periods

#2
Today
$163
Vol: $0
Week
$-2,413
Vol: $3,428
Month
$-2,522
Vol: $88,074
All Time
$-5,111
Vol: $317,879

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
29%
27W / 67L events
Realized PnL
$-4,069
Win Rate
29%
27W / 67L
Profit Factor
0.7x
Avg Win
$294
Avg Loss
$-168

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,299 (0.5650108500917895% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$870
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini$775
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$654
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$596
Tennessee vs. Illinois$505
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$494
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$472
USC vs. TCU$467
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$417
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Michigan Wolverines$367

Top Losers

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$-930
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Golden State Warriors?$-657
Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red Storm$-504
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$-500
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$-500
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$-412
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$-400
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$-350
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$-350
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$-337

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.565
Sortino
-0.589
HHI
120
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.195
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.4%
Top-5 markets
14.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
26.0m
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.25
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 84s — normal for humanCV 1.25 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps21/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal11% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.47
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)33.3%
Mid (20-55c)64.5%
High (>55c)2.2%

Sessions

#12
9/1/2026, 2:43:07 PM37 trades$11,9710 min
9/1/2026, 3:07:58 PM17 trades$11,0840 min
3/7/2026, 7:33:53 AM20 trades$2,11832 min
3/13/2026, 9:40:51 PM3 trades$1,9203 min
12/31/2025, 4:24:55 PM6 trades$1,32510 min
12/31/2025, 2:42:17 AM3 trades$1,2966 min
3/13/2026, 4:29:39 PM7 trades$1,29215 min
1/30/2026, 3:13:16 AM16 trades$1,19623 min
2/24/2026, 5:13:44 PM3 trades$9414 min
12/31/2025, 2:12:17 AM3 trades$9301 min
3/7/2026, 8:14:31 AM4 trades$8474 min
12/31/2025, 2:27:41 AM4 trades$5247 min
3/14/2026, 6:48:05 PM2 trades$5040 min
3/14/2026, 11:09:43 PM1 trades$5040 min
12/30/2025, 6:01:47 PM6 trades$5002 min
12/30/2025, 5:17:51 PM5 trades$5001 min
1/11/2026, 8:36:58 AM3 trades$4901 min
1/20/2026, 2:20:54 AM17 trades$4816 min
12/30/2025, 3:32:07 AM6 trades$4505 min
12/31/2025, 8:36:53 PM3 trades$4266 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-21
12-30
01-11
01-22
01-30
02-24
03-07
03-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.47/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L33.3 / M64.5 / H2.2