@lekkerweertje

#68,50492

0x993c95f836ea033d97a08985060869270e208f7a

~47d· 84 markets · 942 tradesVol: $36,9632026-09-10 21:15:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

92
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (50/83)15.1/20
2.52x (win $3,886 / loss $1,540)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.99715/15
Sortino 13.92210/10
$+0.2999 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 576 (83 markets)9.6/10
24/42 profitable days (57%)6.8/10
Max DD 16% of peak ($392 / $2,385)10/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 60%
Profitable
PnL $+1,567
Contrarian
51% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 11.4 entries/market
Cool Head
Max DD 16%
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#2,068$778Vol: $22,960

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,407
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$36,963
Total Redeem
$628
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
84
total markets
Trades
462B / 480S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~47d

Periods

#2
Month
$-43
Vol: $1,197
All Time
$1,407
Vol: $36,963

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
50W / 33L events
Realized PnL
$1,567
Win Rate
60%
50W / 33L
Profit Factor
2.52x
Avg Win
$78
Avg Loss
$-57

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,562 (1.6347538096332033% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 28?$1,986
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$341
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 28?$236
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 3?$204
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 29?$199
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 3?$106
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 30?$105
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?$100
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 25?$73
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 1?$69

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or higher on April 30?$-361
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$-195
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-167
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 24?$-125
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 30?$-124
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Speech to the Nation?$-73
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?$-68
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on April 29?$-60
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 25?$-53
Will Warsh say "Job Market" during June Press Conference?$-50

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.155
Sortino
0.543
HHI
550
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.299
Kelly %
9.8%
Half-Kelly
4.9%
Top-1 market
13.1%
Top-5 markets
44.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.39
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.1

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 290s — normal for humanCV 2.39 — diverse sizes (human-like)34% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.37
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)25.8%
Mid (20-55c)24.9%
High (>55c)49.4%

Sessions

#12
6/15/2026, 4:10:42 AM2 trades$1,4410 min
4/28/2026, 3:15:42 PM22 trades$67610 min
4/30/2026, 1:26:14 AM17 trades$5136 min
4/24/2026, 2:31:06 PM29 trades$47110 min
5/3/2026, 3:33:22 AM33 trades$4395 min
4/28/2026, 1:40:58 AM7 trades$3691 min
4/28/2026, 1:46:50 AM13 trades$3683 min
4/28/2026, 5:33:08 AM15 trades$3505 min
4/25/2026, 2:09:40 AM28 trades$3265 min
4/30/2026, 12:02:34 AM11 trades$2543 min
5/25/2026, 11:11:17 PM2 trades$2480 min
4/24/2026, 1:20:22 PM28 trades$2428 min
4/29/2026, 1:51:06 AM7 trades$2291 min
4/30/2026, 10:58:46 AM28 trades$2187 min
4/29/2026, 4:39:06 AM10 trades$2116 min
5/26/2026, 12:45:30 PM10 trades$2001 min
4/25/2026, 12:59:52 PM14 trades$1978 min
5/29/2026, 9:19:00 PM2 trades$1950 min
4/28/2026, 3:40:20 PM10 trades$1799 min
5/3/2026, 3:39:34 PM2 trades$1791 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
05-01
05-31
06-12
06-25
07-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 29 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
44% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.37/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L25.8 / M24.9 / H49.4