lightlz

@lightlz

#2,923,71724

0xc141fabbb861cb2f92e6cc2bdca6203134032c71

~188d· 315 markets · 583 tradesVol: $533,401 @LeoflixS2026-10-14 04:55:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (152/307)9.8/20
0.79x (win $1,434 / loss $1,804)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.1200/15
Sortino -1.5480/10
$-0.1086 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 167 (307 markets)10/10
82/180 profitable days (46%)3.9/10
Max DD 263% of peak ($655 / $249)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
66% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,424,748$-28Vol: $322,323
⚽ SPORTS#1,833,877$-386Vol: $200,641
🎭 CULTURE#669,873$-7Vol: $7,135
₿ CRYPTO#912,982$-2Vol: $2,027
🌤️ WEATHER#193,458$-1Vol: $1,143
💰 FINANCE#387,519$-0Vol: $109
📈 ECONOMICS#201,359$0Vol: $6
💻 TECH#133,990$0Vol: $5

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-422
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$533,401
Total Redeem
$316
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
315
total markets
Trades
496B / 87S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~188d

Periods

#2
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-422
Vol: $533,401

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
152W / 155L events
Realized PnL
$-422
Win Rate
50%
152W / 155L
Profit Factor
0.79x
Avg Win
$9
Avg Loss
$-12

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $410 (0.9709753787878788% of PnL)

Top Winners

Hornets vs. Lakers$263
Knicks vs. Hornets$77
76ers vs. Mavericks$70
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)$64
Bulls vs. Timberwolves$60
Rangers vs. Stars: O/U 4.5$57
Rockets vs. Kings$50
Wizards vs. Nuggets$49
Nuggets vs. Suns: O/U 235.5$40
Sabres vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5$35

Top Losers

Red Wings vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5$-60
Bucks vs. Wizards$-53
Warriors vs. Kings$-51
Grizzlies vs. Pacers$-50
Suns vs. Spurs$-50
Heat vs. Raptors$-50
Magic vs. Hawks$-50
Bulls vs. Knicks$-50
Bulls vs. Kings$-45
Lakers vs. Mavericks$-39

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.058
Sortino
-0.064
HHI
101
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.108
Kelly %
8.2%
Half-Kelly
4.1%
Top-1 market
4.9%
Top-5 markets
13.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.1h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.54
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 80s — normal for humanCV 1.54 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.83
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.5%
Mid (20-55c)51.6%
High (>55c)33.9%

Sessions

#12
4/16/2026, 6:06:42 PM15 trades$2458 min
3/17/2025, 8:42:11 PM5 trades$1158 min
3/21/2025, 4:55:17 PM6 trades$1023 min
2/20/2025, 8:33:32 PM3 trades$1022 min
4/1/2026, 6:09:59 PM16 trades$1001 min
2/20/2025, 8:11:18 PM2 trades$1001 min
3/29/2026, 9:50:54 PM2 trades$902 min
3/17/2025, 5:52:37 PM3 trades$743 min
3/18/2025, 10:00:06 PM2 trades$711 min
4/15/2026, 1:41:24 AM2 trades$680 min
3/27/2026, 2:33:49 PM1 trades$670 min
3/27/2026, 4:09:59 PM1 trades$670 min
4/1/2026, 6:21:11 PM22 trades$6128 min
2/21/2025, 9:32:41 PM1 trades$530 min
3/19/2025, 11:00:59 PM2 trades$521 min
2/21/2025, 9:18:33 PM1 trades$510 min
2/19/2025, 9:02:41 PM1 trades$500 min
2/21/2025, 9:03:17 PM1 trades$500 min
3/21/2025, 2:38:31 AM1 trades$450 min
3/12/2025, 11:15:51 PM5 trades$422 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-16
03-31
12-05
01-30
03-05
04-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 395 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
14.9% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.83/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L14.5 / M51.6 / H33.9