@lilesto2

#3,067,58523

0xb3078bcc1266252ed38f9c509dd0d70e1a709c25

~88d· 1102 markets · 5803 tradesVol: $883,4092026-08-04 16:21:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (475/1097)6.6/20
0.93x (win $40,835 / loss $43,871)1.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.9530/15
Sortino -1.4760/10
$-0.0155 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 33 (1097 markets)10/10
41/86 profitable days (48%)4.4/10
Max DD 171% of peak ($10,251 / $5,997)0/10

Badges

5
Diamond Hands
5% sells
Whale
$196,269 invested
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
95% maker orders

Categories

2
💰 FINANCE#660,415$-22,524Vol: $878,006
SPORTS#360,970$3Vol: $52

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-22,815
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$883,409
Total Redeem
$3,816
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1102
total markets
Trades
5539B / 264S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~88d

Periods

#2
Today
$615
Vol: $0
Week
$1,159
Vol: $0
Month
$968
Vol: $9,438
All Time
$-22,815
Vol: $883,409

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
475W / 622L events
Realized PnL
$-22,815
Win Rate
43%
475W / 622L
Profit Factor
0.93x
Avg Win
$86
Avg Loss
$-71

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,244 (0.18602997802733415% of PnL)

Top Winners

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?$1,606
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?$1,550
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?$1,089
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?$994
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?$885
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$600
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $320 Week of July 20 2026?$539
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?$539
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on May 12?$484
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 in May?$482

Top Losers

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?$-789
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 11 2026?$-726
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $141 Week of May 11 2026?$-661
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 12?$-537
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.00 Week of May 11 2026?$-525
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?$-473
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$-468
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 11?$-448
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 12?$-447
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $457.50 Week of May 11 2026?$-438

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.050
Sortino
-0.071
HHI
34
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.015
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.4%
Top-5 markets
6.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
21.6
Active
Markets / Day
4.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
20.0m
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.54
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
14 min
Avg Trades / Session
21.0

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 191s — normal for humanCV 1.54 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock22 trades/day — high frequency4.1 markets/day — normal95% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.28
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.9%
Mid (20-55c)24.5%
High (>55c)59.6%

Sessions

#12
5/12/2026, 9:00:57 PM44 trades$2,14853 min
5/19/2026, 9:11:32 PM81 trades$2,05549 min
6/15/2026, 8:52:22 AM50 trades$1,80825 min
5/5/2026, 8:19:38 PM81 trades$1,67323 min
5/12/2026, 1:23:08 AM24 trades$1,60921 min
5/8/2026, 8:16:57 PM47 trades$1,5685 min
4/25/2026, 3:04:00 AM18 trades$1,4832 min
5/12/2026, 12:30:06 PM24 trades$1,43011 min
5/12/2026, 1:57:05 AM35 trades$1,40132 min
6/15/2026, 12:27:21 PM21 trades$1,3167 min
5/11/2026, 10:08:06 PM21 trades$1,27915 min
5/14/2026, 7:58:23 AM25 trades$1,26127 min
5/23/2026, 6:17:09 PM7 trades$1,2217 min
5/11/2026, 8:00:05 AM32 trades$1,18830 min
5/5/2026, 12:00:04 AM24 trades$1,1678 min
5/4/2026, 10:21:56 AM22 trades$1,1645 min
5/11/2026, 2:31:29 AM15 trades$1,15211 min
6/16/2026, 10:12:55 PM12 trades$1,0068 min
5/13/2026, 8:13:03 PM17 trades$9409 min
5/14/2026, 9:46:49 AM17 trades$9345 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-06
05-08
05-23
06-12
06-26
07-11
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 73 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
4.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.28/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.9 / M24.5 / H59.6