lionsever

@lionsever

#146,61589

0x896d1d6511a63a0c11980b34834640b1fb8667d6

~110d· 130 markets · 369 tradesVol: $41,566 @lixiaowei013282026-08-06 06:12:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

89
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

84% (103/122)20/20
3.42x (win $653 / loss $191)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.94315/15
Sortino 10.22010/10
$+0.0224 per $1 invested1.1/10
HHI 460 (122 markets)10/10
69/79 profitable days (87%)10/10
Max DD 30% of peak ($137 / $462)8.1/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 84%
Profitable
PnL $+297
Consistent
69/79 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 30%
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#79,347$65Vol: $17,474
CRYPTO#186,374$19Vol: $14,412
🌤️ WEATHER#13,680$29Vol: $4,685
💰 FINANCE#45,156$16Vol: $1,960
SPORTS#115,250$111Vol: $532
🎭 CULTURE#66,795$10Vol: $476
📈 ECONOMICS#65,818$4Vol: $207
💻 TECH#21,124$7Vol: $191

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$297
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$41,566
Total Redeem
$205
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
130
total markets
Trades
204B / 165S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~110d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $974
Week
$7
Vol: $974
Month
$16
Vol: $1,269
All Time
$297
Vol: $41,566

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
84%
103W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$297
Win Rate
84%
103W / 19L
Profit Factor
3.42x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-17

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $355 (1.195018369341737% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Trump visit China by April 30?$133
Ripple above $3.15 on January 31?$112
Lightning vs. Canadiens$109
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$90
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?$30
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$20
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?$15
Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?$11
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?$10
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$9

Top Losers

Dogecoin above $0.40 on January 24?$-65
Bitcoin above $95,000 on January 17?$-52
Will Ethereum hit $3000 by Friday?$-43
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-25
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.205
Sortino
0.221
HHI
432
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.020
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14%
Top-5 markets
36.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
42%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 348s — normal for humanCV 1.36 — diverse sizes (human-like)42% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.17
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.5%
Mid (20-55c)4.4%
High (>55c)94.1%

Sessions

#12
4/11/2026, 1:20:29 AM5 trades$1,3831 min
5/25/2026, 7:02:20 AM2 trades$1,3820 min
2/25/2025, 9:17:33 AM1 trades$1,1010 min
6/12/2026, 8:58:33 AM19 trades$1,0553 min
3/5/2025, 7:30:31 AM1 trades$8600 min
5/16/2026, 6:53:43 AM7 trades$7012 min
2/23/2025, 8:30:12 AM1 trades$6670 min
3/2/2025, 9:54:31 AM2 trades$6611 min
5/15/2026, 1:08:57 AM22 trades$6217 min
3/12/2026, 7:36:55 AM1 trades$5770 min
3/5/2025, 7:16:55 AM3 trades$5292 min
4/17/2026, 10:01:40 AM2 trades$4490 min
2/23/2025, 9:55:58 PM1 trades$4430 min
5/2/2026, 7:14:56 AM4 trades$4270 min
9/21/2025, 4:42:04 AM2 trades$4020 min
10/20/2024, 1:50:44 PM2 trades$3991 min
2/15/2025, 3:09:53 AM1 trades$3870 min
12/21/2025, 7:39:24 AM1 trades$3870 min
2/2/2026, 2:44:08 AM1 trades$3720 min
5/8/2025, 12:26:23 PM1 trades$3580 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-17
02-05
04-09
06-27
11-21
04-10
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 91 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.17/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.5 / M4.4 / H94.1