Polydata

@longdated-poli

#3,064,38330

0x167a807987c8da3aea97bc36cb394fc04d3c91d5

~148d· 1932 markets · 33149 tradesVol: $3,351,8152026-07-31 19:27:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (360/694)10.9/20
0.91x (win $46,880 / loss $51,586)1.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.7350/15
Sortino -0.8710/10
$-0.0032 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 71 (694 markets)10/10
75/124 profitable days (60%)7.6/10
Max DD 449% of peak ($18,013 / $4,013)0/10

Badges

6
DCA Master
Avg 17.7 entries/market
Whale
$1,460,729 invested
Consistent
75/124 profitable days
High Roller
$2,108/day
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,637,543$-23,879Vol: $2,417,396
💰 FINANCE#655,836$-3,689Vol: $412,681
📈 ECONOMICS#678,767$-1,459Vol: $224,909
SPORTS#1,816,334$-807Vol: $138,421
🎭 CULTURE#809,669$-956Vol: $74,382
CRYPTO#1,590,306$-529Vol: $43,243
💻 TECH#6,141$95Vol: $12,574
🌤️ WEATHER#287,063$-134Vol: $8,155
📢 MENTIONS#135,922$-14Vol: $2,661

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-31,656
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,351,815
Total Redeem
$21,384
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1932
total markets
Trades
18834B / 14315S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~148d

Periods

#2
Today
$-14
Vol: $31,042
Week
$-2,090
Vol: $240,106
Month
$-14,508
Vol: $1,286,452
All Time
$-31,656
Vol: $3,351,815

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
52%
360W / 332L events
Realized PnL
$-31,519
Win Rate
52%
360W / 332L
Profit Factor
0.91x
Avg Win
$130
Avg Loss
$-154

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,694 (0.2123720262938396% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$2,836
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2,068
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1,790
Will Kylian Mbappe score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,235
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1,124
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$930
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?$816
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?$757
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?$747
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.35B?$717

Top Losers

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-5,389
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$-3,549
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?$-2,656
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$-2,581
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-1,856
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$-1,841
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$-1,770
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-1,458
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$-1,418
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?$-1,273

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.038
Sortino
-0.034
HHI
14
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.007
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.2%
Top-5 markets
5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
47.8
Active
Markets / Day
2.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
52s
between trades
Avg Gap
11.0m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.57
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
44.0

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 52s — normal for humanCV 2.57 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock48 trades/day — high frequency2.8 markets/day — normal57% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.7
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18.7%
Mid (20-55c)7.7%
High (>55c)73.6%

Sessions

#12
2/1/2026, 4:51:34 PM6 trades$15,5735 min
1/16/2026, 5:10:14 PM4 trades$13,5471 min
7/27/2026, 12:50:36 AM53 trades$13,25726 min
4/5/2026, 9:09:59 AM14 trades$12,6872 min
3/21/2026, 9:48:17 AM1 trades$12,2520 min
4/5/2026, 9:51:09 AM26 trades$9,9792 min
3/16/2026, 4:49:03 PM22 trades$8,86120 min
6/29/2026, 10:33:16 AM45 trades$8,1685 min
7/6/2026, 9:38:14 AM167 trades$8,16516 min
6/30/2026, 2:16:29 AM156 trades$8,0787 min
1/2/2026, 7:38:29 PM1 trades$6,7890 min
7/22/2026, 9:27:34 AM119 trades$6,66113 min
2/1/2026, 11:40:02 PM1 trades$6,5700 min
5/8/2026, 7:07:52 AM9 trades$6,2501 min
4/7/2026, 11:30:55 PM2 trades$6,1980 min
6/27/2026, 9:49:28 AM124 trades$5,99622 min
6/26/2026, 10:24:11 PM74 trades$5,87418 min
4/12/2026, 7:45:43 AM86 trades$5,5704 min
6/24/2026, 9:18:58 PM238 trades$5,52825 min
7/27/2026, 4:39:19 PM47 trades$5,41623 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-10
02-01
04-29
05-27
06-16
07-07
07-27
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 50 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.7/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18.7 / M7.7 / H73.6