@lsix

#59,76852

0x3db5b5b3c8f560be9a502cad17d0549ca59b7094

~37d· 51 markets · 113 tradesVol: $78,349 @etharholder12026-10-08 04:34:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

52
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

36% (18/50)3/20
1.64x (win $6,853 / loss $4,178)10.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.50315/15
Sortino 4.37210/10
$+0.0654 per $1 invested3.3/10
HHI 877 (50 markets)8.1/10
14/35 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 77% of peak ($2,913 / $3,792)0/10

Badges

1
Profitable
PnL $+1,649

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,351,999$-16Vol: $29,395
⚽ SPORTS#24,763$1,783Vol: $23,644
₿ CRYPTO#1,508,768$-105Vol: $17,920
📈 ECONOMICS#626,575$-15Vol: $5,951
💰 FINANCE#101,759$2Vol: $1,248
🎭 CULTURE#502,817$-1Vol: $153

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,649
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$78,349
Total Redeem
$1,919
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
51
total markets
Trades
74B / 39S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~37d

Periods

#2
Month
$-1
Vol: $1,760
All Time
$1,649
Vol: $78,349

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
36%
18W / 32L events
Realized PnL
$1,649
Win Rate
36%
18W / 32L
Profit Factor
1.64x
Avg Win
$381
Avg Loss
$-139

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,850 (2.3344571241465455% of PnL)

Top Winners

Oilers vs. Sharks$1,804
Blackhawks vs. Canucks$1,026
North Texas vs. Tulane$1,021
Nuggets vs. Rockets$1,012
Mavericks vs. Kings$989
Spurs vs. Celtics$928
Ethereum Up or Down on April 24?$53
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?$8
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on October 18?$4
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$4

Top Losers

Rangers vs. Red Wings$-1,032
Golden Knights vs. Senators$-1,005
Blue Jackets vs. Devils$-982
Thunder vs. Knicks$-921
Dogecoin above $0.36 on January 10?$-86
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?$-51
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $102,000 on October 18?$-28
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$-17
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?$-16
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$-9

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.129
Sortino
0.191
HHI
872
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.058
Kelly %
9.6%
Half-Kelly
4.8%
Top-1 market
16.3%
Top-5 markets
54%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
6.1m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.01
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 107s — normal for humanCV 2.01 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours18/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal25% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.76
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.1%
Mid (20-55c)24.3%
High (>55c)67.6%

Sessions

#12
1/6/2025, 3:10:17 AM2 trades$13,3170 min
1/6/2025, 3:20:01 AM2 trades$6,7382 min
1/6/2025, 3:01:23 AM1 trades$6,6650 min
8/25/2026, 2:41:19 PM10 trades$2,6792 min
4/8/2026, 2:44:41 PM6 trades$2,0340 min
1/10/2026, 3:21:10 PM2 trades$2,0095 min
5/10/2026, 3:52:08 PM3 trades$2,0080 min
2/3/2026, 3:15:34 PM2 trades$1,9864 min
4/19/2026, 3:56:08 AM2 trades$1,9210 min
4/19/2026, 4:10:38 AM2 trades$1,9200 min
6/13/2026, 2:46:39 PM5 trades$1,8632 min
12/4/2025, 3:01:21 PM2 trades$1,8412 min
7/19/2026, 3:25:31 PM7 trades$1,5121 min
10/18/2025, 3:07:25 AM2 trades$1,0343 min
10/29/2025, 3:39:03 PM2 trades$1,0332 min
11/7/2025, 4:15:11 PM1 trades$1,0320 min
5/27/2026, 12:35:52 AM1 trades$1,0310 min
3/12/2026, 2:16:25 PM1 trades$1,0190 min
3/12/2026, 2:28:37 PM1 trades$1,0180 min
3/19/2026, 2:06:13 PM1 trades$1,0180 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-06
04-11
08-21
11-05
01-10
03-19
06-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 68 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.76/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.1 / M24.3 / H67.6