@lug
#2,200470xe0dbdb7f005f233f4510e4ef7e53a2f76a8df44e
~694d· 3626 markets · 35220 tradesVol: $22,401,8422026-07-31 15:30:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
47
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
55% (1979/3581)12.6/20
1.03x (win $3,098,822 / loss $3,018,429)2.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.4398.2/15
Sortino 0.6056.1/10
$+0.0101 per $1 invested0.5/10
HHI 10 (3581 markets)10/10
276/500 profitable days (55%)6.3/10
Max DD 107% of peak ($166,086 / $155,642)0/10
Badges
8Profitable
PnL $+86,582
Contrarian
60% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 9.4 entries/market
Whale
$7,952,395 invested
High Roller
$6,025/day
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
84% maker orders
Categories
9⚽ SPORTS#1,742$36,703Vol: $12,536,885
🏛️ POLITICS#2,087$21,220Vol: $6,444,466
📢 MENTIONS#95$20,192Vol: $922,220
🎭 CULTURE#816,098$-17,831Vol: $545,670
📈 ECONOMICS#295$26,067Vol: $544,861
₿ CRYPTO#1,667,504$-8,984Vol: $337,287
💻 TECH#246$8,083Vol: $129,072
💰 FINANCE#655,728$-3,631Vol: $45,845
🌤️ WEATHER#295,045$-599Vol: $30,700
Overview
#1Net PnL
$86,396
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$22,401,842
Total Redeem
$458,074
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3626
total markets
Trades
30464B / 4756S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~694d
Periods
#2Today
$266
Vol: $3,000
Week
$4,820
Vol: $65,462
Month
$71,814
Vol: $1,200,750
All Time
$86,396
Vol: $22,401,842
PnL Analysis
#3Win Rate (events)
55%
1979W / 1602L events
Realized PnL
$86,582
Win Rate
55%
1979W / 1602L
Profit Factor
1.03x
Avg Win
$1,566
Avg Loss
$-1,926
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $140,540 (1.6231927428014334% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$74,881
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$35,452
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$30,207
Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?$15,679
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?$15,494
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?$14,821
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$12,300
Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains?$12,075
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$10,179
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$9,720
Top Losers
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$-66,083
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$-38,000
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-26,512
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$-18,911
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?$-13,339
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$-11,500
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$-11,340
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?$-11,333
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?$-10,350
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-10,170
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.023
Sortino
0.025
HHI
7
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.011
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1%
Top-5 markets
2.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
26.7
Active
Markets / Day
2.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
28.7m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.85
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
12 min
Avg Trades / Session
40.2
Bot Detection
#640
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 67s — normal for humanCV 2.85 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock27 trades/day — high frequency2.7 markets/day — normal84% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
9.41
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)7.8%
Mid (20-55c)52.5%
High (>55c)39.7%
Sessions
#129/26/2024, 8:35:33 PM2 trades$84,1570 min
5/16/2026, 1:17:09 PM64 trades$49,2524 min
6/26/2026, 5:16:20 AM96 trades$40,7352 min
3/3/2026, 11:27:01 PM43 trades$30,81235 min
5/23/2026, 11:56:56 AM64 trades$30,48920 min
2/21/2026, 3:35:50 PM114 trades$28,81771 min
5/2/2026, 6:28:54 PM36 trades$26,5831 min
5/9/2026, 2:51:32 PM65 trades$26,3817 min
5/8/2026, 3:17:39 PM54 trades$25,8381 min
5/3/2026, 8:56:50 AM24 trades$25,5530 min
6/27/2026, 5:51:46 PM250 trades$25,45593 min
6/18/2026, 9:48:52 PM18 trades$24,9085 min
5/10/2026, 1:34:21 PM29 trades$24,5411 min
2/26/2026, 7:27:52 PM32 trades$23,51413 min
5/17/2026, 2:32:21 PM52 trades$23,13014 min
5/10/2026, 3:18:25 PM55 trades$22,16610 min
11/7/2024, 11:23:53 AM2 trades$20,7581 min
3/15/2026, 1:48:37 PM135 trades$20,54556 min
3/3/2026, 2:43:47 AM40 trades$20,36216 min
5/3/2026, 2:33:06 AM17 trades$20,1650 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-17
09-27
02-14
06-02
01-19
04-14
07-29
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 305 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
13.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.41/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L7.8 / M52.5 / H39.7