@lukeiy

#161,89391

0x8206afa60b5dc5c281279ea65d7afbbddfe8e04f

~53d· 44 markets · 195 tradesVol: $64,3682026-08-04 19:44:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

91
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

95% (41/43)20/20
9.76x (win $544 / loss $56)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 11.46015/15
Sortino 30.81110/10
$+0.0111 per $1 invested0.6/10
HHI 491 (43 markets)10/10
31/33 profitable days (94%)10/10
Max DD 11% of peak ($53 / $488)10/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 95%
Profitable
PnL $+237
DCA Master
Avg 5.3 entries/market
Consistent
31/33 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 11%
Win Streak
21 wins in a row

Categories

5
₿ CRYPTO#77,550$139Vol: $36,504
💰 FINANCE#38,522$22Vol: $11,151
📈 ECONOMICS#24,998$27Vol: $8,813
🏛️ POLITICS#100,710$39Vol: $5,701
💻 TECH#18,196$10Vol: $2,198

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$237
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$64,368
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
44
total markets
Trades
84B / 111S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~53d

Periods

#2
Week
$23
Vol: $2,198
Month
$10
Vol: $2,198
All Time
$237
Vol: $64,368

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
95%
41W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$237
Win Rate
95%
41W / 2L
Profit Factor
9.76x
Avg Win
$13
Avg Loss
$-28

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $200 (0.8427564075497191% of PnL)

Top Winners

Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?$71
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$66
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$63
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$53
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$43
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?$43
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$37
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?$32
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?$20
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in June?$20

Top Losers

Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?$-53
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.591
Sortino
0.423
HHI
984
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.009
Kelly %
88.1%
Half-Kelly
44.0%
Top-1 market
14.4%
Top-5 markets
59%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
48s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
42%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.09
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 48s — normal for humanCV 1.09 — diverse sizes (human-like)42% night trades — never sleeps21/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.26
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
5/21/2026, 3:21:07 AM4 trades$4,7521 min
5/18/2026, 2:01:06 PM6 trades$3,3731 min
3/21/2026, 3:16:23 PM2 trades$3,1204 min
3/12/2026, 7:40:11 AM2 trades$3,0881 min
4/7/2026, 1:32:29 AM6 trades$1,6470 min
5/5/2026, 11:05:56 AM2 trades$1,5880 min
5/26/2026, 10:41:08 AM1 trades$1,5860 min
4/26/2026, 9:36:32 AM2 trades$1,5820 min
4/24/2026, 1:32:24 PM1 trades$1,5800 min
3/29/2026, 5:01:02 AM1 trades$1,5660 min
3/16/2026, 9:31:27 AM2 trades$1,5580 min
3/14/2026, 3:20:09 AM47 trades$1,55840 min
3/13/2026, 2:50:33 PM1 trades$1,5560 min
3/13/2026, 3:50:27 PM1 trades$1,5560 min
3/6/2026, 2:44:13 PM1 trades$1,5450 min
3/4/2026, 5:34:37 AM3 trades$1,5271 min
3/5/2026, 12:27:21 PM3 trades$1,4291 min
3/3/2026, 1:46:09 PM1 trades$1,4030 min
3/3/2026, 9:02:27 AM1 trades$1,4020 min
2/26/2026, 8:09:50 AM1 trades$1,4000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-21
01-25
02-14
03-05
03-21
05-21
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 6 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.26/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100