@lunae20
#3,047,393250xb0f65a17694cfa95f4c34a4edd1530218de1451c
~215d· 520 markets · 6924 tradesVol: $600,1812026-08-06 07:59:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
49% (247/505)9.5/20
0.82x (win $19,882 / loss $24,201)0.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.3680/15
Sortino -1.6450/10
$-0.0497 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 116 (505 markets)10/10
80/160 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 320% of peak ($10,026 / $3,133)0/10
Badges
6Lottery Player
82% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 13.4 entries/market
Whale
$86,856 invested
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
97% maker orders
Categories
7🎭 CULTURE#816,616$-6,161Vol: $447,895
💰 FINANCE#4,100$1,034Vol: $80,120
🏛️ POLITICS#48,855$169Vol: $49,791
⚽ SPORTS#214,943$25Vol: $8,703
📈 ECONOMICS#675,735$-466Vol: $4,718
₿ CRYPTO#65,831$197Vol: $3,831
🌤️ WEATHER#293,624$-303Vol: $1,823
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-5,358
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$600,181
Total Redeem
$300
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
520
total markets
Trades
6154B / 770S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~215d
Periods
#2Today
$7
Vol: $0
Week
$41
Vol: $400
Month
$113
Vol: $437
All Time
$-5,358
Vol: $600,181
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
49%
247W / 258L events
Realized PnL
$-5,358
Win Rate
49%
247W / 258L
Profit Factor
0.82x
Avg Win
$80
Avg Loss
$-94
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,281 (0.6123955481145933% of PnL)
Top Winners
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?$1,486
Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?$951
Will WD-40 Company (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?$843
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$810
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$755
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$584
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$534
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$509
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$488
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?$402
Top Losers
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-1,130
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-1,024
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?$-685
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$-495
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-464
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$-400
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$-360
Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?$-340
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$-338
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$-321
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.071
Sortino
-0.070
HHI
140
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.048
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.7%
Top-5 markets
21.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
23.2
Active
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
48.2m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.47
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.3
Bot Detection
#650
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 270s — normal for humanCV 4.47 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock23 trades/day — high frequency1.7 markets/day — normal97% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 17:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
13.43
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)81.8%
Mid (20-55c)9.2%
High (>55c)9%
Sessions
#1211/18/2025, 5:57:49 PM1 trades$2,8500 min
11/18/2025, 10:28:15 AM1 trades$1,5780 min
11/22/2025, 8:06:51 PM2 trades$1,1565 min
11/18/2025, 10:39:33 AM1 trades$1,0350 min
10/25/2025, 5:03:51 PM1 trades$9400 min
11/22/2025, 5:54:03 PM1 trades$9390 min
1/8/2026, 4:49:14 PM13 trades$9367 min
3/4/2026, 7:35:39 PM2 trades$9251 min
4/21/2026, 9:12:12 AM1 trades$8970 min
12/4/2025, 12:51:05 PM4 trades$8929 min
2/21/2026, 10:00:56 PM1 trades$8900 min
4/7/2026, 11:03:43 PM8 trades$8081 min
11/11/2025, 3:22:00 PM7 trades$7775 min
12/11/2025, 6:23:37 AM7 trades$7701 min
5/3/2026, 5:32:20 PM1 trades$7600 min
5/10/2026, 6:58:42 PM5 trades$6760 min
10/25/2025, 12:38:15 PM2 trades$6650 min
11/28/2025, 11:58:51 PM1 trades$6180 min
3/31/2026, 2:45:51 PM20 trades$6035 min
11/30/2025, 7:35:58 PM13 trades$57617 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-08
11-08
12-06
01-04
02-07
03-07
05-05
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 145 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
11.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.43/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L81.8 / M9.2 / H9