@lunarbard802
#2,864,004120xf7454e9b2e0aadf8745595bb658e2a4be7f4bf49
~29d· 148 markets · 1049 tradesVol: $22,3972026-08-26 09:14:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
21% (31/148)0/20
0.74x (win $1,786 / loss $2,398)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.9080/15
Sortino -4.1270/10
$-0.2099 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 822 (148 markets)8.4/10
13/28 profitable days (46%)4.1/10
Max DD 1589% of peak ($671 / $42)0/10
Badges
2Contrarian
69% entries < $0.55
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
Categories
1🌤️ WEATHER#299,466$-432Vol: $22,397
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-432
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$22,397
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
148
total markets
Trades
246B / 803S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~29d
Periods
#2Month
$-2
Vol: $1,460
All Time
$-432
Vol: $22,397
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
21%
31W / 117L events
Realized PnL
$-423
Win Rate
21%
31W / 117L
Profit Factor
0.74x
Avg Win
$58
Avg Loss
$-23
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $861 (2.038459717883177% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 7?$440
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 9?$235
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 15?$187
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 21?$135
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 20?$112
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 13?$52
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 17?$51
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 10?$48
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 20?$47
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 19?$47
Top Losers
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 14?$-337
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 7?$-280
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 14?$-159
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 7?$-159
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 20?$-91
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 9?$-83
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 8?$-79
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 20?$-70
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 21?$-67
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 11?$-67
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.201
Sortino
-0.177
HHI
450
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.210
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.2%
Top-5 markets
39.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
15.7
Active
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
24.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.7
Bot Detection
#625
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1496s — normal for humanCV 1.24 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours22/24 hours — around the clock16 trades/day — very active2.2 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.09
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)25.6%
Mid (20-55c)43.5%
High (>55c)30.9%
Sessions
#126/11/2026, 3:21:49 AM22 trades$3,2050 min
6/14/2026, 4:16:31 PM35 trades$2,9724 min
6/9/2026, 7:10:39 PM9 trades$1,3761 min
6/9/2026, 9:20:15 PM8 trades$1,3350 min
8/9/2026, 3:39:22 PM29 trades$4190 min
6/7/2026, 5:41:18 PM57 trades$3976 min
6/21/2026, 10:00:34 AM36 trades$3870 min
6/20/2026, 12:00:37 AM19 trades$3280 min
6/7/2026, 5:09:24 PM40 trades$3143 min
6/7/2026, 12:30:09 PM17 trades$2551 min
6/21/2026, 11:01:25 AM19 trades$2270 min
6/15/2026, 12:00:24 AM23 trades$1950 min
6/7/2026, 3:38:09 PM13 trades$1720 min
6/19/2026, 12:00:16 AM17 trades$1700 min
6/20/2026, 10:01:02 AM12 trades$1590 min
6/22/2026, 4:00:59 PM21 trades$1560 min
6/8/2026, 2:00:12 PM16 trades$1541 min
6/18/2026, 10:01:02 AM16 trades$1511 min
6/8/2026, 1:00:15 PM17 trades$1461 min
6/12/2026, 12:00:22 AM13 trades$1400 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-05
06-09
06-14
06-18
06-22
07-06
08-01
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 15 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
76.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.09/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L25.6 / M43.5 / H30.9