@lupanar

#2,066,4875

0x18459cca59abc6ae1e47e51ca2ee805e6a0f6115

~40d· 24 markets · 173 tradesVol: $15,740 @lupanar862026-08-04 19:56:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

5
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

10% (2/21)0/20
0.07x (win $23 / loss $348)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -13.3410/15
Sortino -11.0510/10
$-0.7101 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1493 (21 markets)5/10
2/16 profitable days (12%)0/10
Max DD 3330% of peak ($335 / $10)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
79% entries < $0.20

Categories

4
SPORTS#1,576,150$-45Vol: $8,801
🎭 CULTURE#44,217$25Vol: $4,085
CRYPTO#255,643$8Vol: $2,731
🏛️ POLITICS#1,220,909$-7Vol: $123

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-19
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,740
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
24
total markets
Trades
99B / 74S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~40d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-2
Vol: $0
All Time
$-19
Vol: $15,740

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
10%
2W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$-19
Win Rate
10%
2W / 19L
Profit Factor
0.07x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-22

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $23 (1.1990740740740742% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026?$20
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?$3

Top Losers

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-82
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?$-53
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?$-42
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$-33
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?$-23
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?$-23
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$-22
Will Naomi Osaka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$-19
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-18
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$-12

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.676
Sortino
-0.687
HHI
1778
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.543
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
24%
Top-5 markets
86.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
22.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.7h
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.19
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1332s — normal for humanCV 2.19 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps21/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal51% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.24
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)78.8%
Mid (20-55c)2%
High (>55c)19.2%

Sessions

#12
6/26/2026, 2:42:50 AM18 trades$3704 min
6/27/2026, 10:45:43 AM8 trades$1780 min
4/2/2026, 7:06:45 AM8 trades$1252 min
6/14/2026, 3:13:57 PM5 trades$652 min
2/17/2026, 2:16:51 PM1 trades$500 min
2/18/2026, 2:35:13 AM1 trades$450 min
7/1/2026, 2:42:50 AM3 trades$450 min
7/8/2026, 3:27:35 AM2 trades$450 min
5/24/2026, 7:12:19 AM4 trades$311 min
5/22/2026, 3:46:59 PM5 trades$301 min
3/8/2026, 11:47:17 PM1 trades$290 min
3/14/2026, 3:26:29 AM1 trades$270 min
7/15/2026, 4:34:26 AM11 trades$242 min
5/29/2026, 4:51:40 PM6 trades$212 min
5/22/2026, 10:00:03 AM2 trades$210 min
5/17/2026, 3:22:15 AM2 trades$200 min
3/22/2026, 5:48:03 PM1 trades$180 min
6/25/2026, 12:29:55 PM4 trades$164 min
3/25/2026, 12:14:01 AM1 trades$150 min
5/19/2026, 9:27:34 AM1 trades$130 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-14
03-18
04-02
05-10
05-29
06-21
06-26
06-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 97 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.24/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L78.8 / M2 / H19.2