@macncheese

#387,38654

0x5fc59bde0449ecedd1055cceb24ee4d6ae05bfb7

~34d· 47 markets · 108 tradesVol: $61,6602026-09-23 03:32:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

54
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

67% (30/45)18.3/20
1.09x (win $3,491 / loss $3,198)3.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.4688.8/15
Sortino 0.5585.6/10
$+0.0134 per $1 invested0.7/10
HHI 693 (45 markets)9/10
15/25 profitable days (60%)7.5/10
Max DD 86% of peak ($1,863 / $2,156)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 67%
Profitable
PnL $+23
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#17,986$1,014Vol: $26,184
⚽ SPORTS#66,182$350Vol: $17,409
₿ CRYPTO#1,677,464$-1,518Vol: $10,050
🎭 CULTURE#5,815$806Vol: $5,852
💻 TECH#267,189$-749Vol: $1,007
💰 FINANCE#26,900$47Vol: $247

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$23
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$61,660
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
47
total markets
Trades
83B / 25S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~34d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-5
Vol: $981
Month
$34
Vol: $2,940
All Time
$23
Vol: $61,660

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
67%
30W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$23
Win Rate
67%
30W / 15L
Profit Factor
1.09x
Avg Win
$116
Avg Loss
$-213

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,912 (84.35569285083848% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$854
India military action against Pakistan before June?$538
Super Bowl LIX Winner$520
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?$323
Will Biden finish his term?$258
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$137
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by January 31, 2025?$129
Texans vs. Steelers$104
49ers vs. Eagles$97
USA vs. India - Cricket T20 World Cup$78

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$-1,888
DeepSeek R2 released before July?$-749
Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days?$-194
Broncos vs. Bills$-99
Will Ex-Amazon VP reveal who seduced his wife?$-83
Will UC San Diego win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?$-39
Texans vs. Patriots$-25
49ers vs. Seahawks$-25
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?$-25
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?$-25

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.024
Sortino
0.020
HHI
517
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.015
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.8%
Top-5 markets
42.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 66s — normal for humanCV 1.53 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal15% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.22
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.9%
Mid (20-55c)10.8%
High (>55c)72.3%

Sessions

#12
11/6/2024, 7:26:15 AM5 trades$4,2512 min
2/10/2026, 7:26:11 PM2 trades$1,8882 min
2/9/2026, 11:41:51 PM1 trades$1,8080 min
2/9/2026, 11:27:03 PM1 trades$1,7900 min
12/18/2024, 10:10:19 AM8 trades$1,7035 min
2/9/2026, 11:08:21 PM1 trades$1,6560 min
9/4/2026, 5:29:16 PM4 trades$1,3160 min
6/12/2024, 6:18:33 PM1 trades$1,0770 min
7/22/2024, 2:47:59 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/12/2024, 7:02:07 AM5 trades$9991 min
9/22/2026, 10:39:59 PM2 trades$9810 min
9/13/2026, 9:37:42 PM2 trades$9800 min
1/31/2025, 9:21:25 AM1 trades$8660 min
5/1/2025, 2:00:57 PM3 trades$8111 min
12/15/2024, 11:16:23 AM5 trades$8102 min
4/21/2025, 5:28:50 PM3 trades$7492 min
1/20/2025, 5:58:19 PM3 trades$7371 min
1/25/2025, 11:06:29 AM1 trades$6190 min
1/12/2025, 9:27:27 AM5 trades$5534 min
12/18/2024, 2:14:10 PM2 trades$5141 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-12
11-06
01-20
04-21
11-13
02-09
03-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 34 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.22/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.9 / M10.8 / H72.3