@mantiscapital
100x1b90c73068c1736d088c2e2958ea9d69abb98cdc
~42d· 75 markets · 577 trades2026-08-26 08:17:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
27% (19/70)0/20
0.50x (win $12,755 / loss $25,761)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.2190/15
Sortino -4.7360/10
$-0.1834 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 703 (70 markets)9/10
11/31 profitable days (35%)1.4/10
Max DD 588% of peak ($15,670 / $2,664)0/10
Badges
2Lottery Player
45% entries < $0.20
Whale
$70,925 invested
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-289
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$70,925
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
75
total markets
Trades
181B / 396S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~42d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
27%
19W / 51L events
Realized PnL
$-289
Win Rate
27%
19W / 51L
Profit Factor
0.5x
Avg Win
$671
Avg Loss
$-585
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,863 (27.219579741752344% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$4,575
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?$1,685
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?$1,603
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles$721
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5$655
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$579
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$508
Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score$504
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?$388
Will Stellan Skarsgard (Sentimental Value) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?$361
Top Losers
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-7,780
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$-3,980
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$-2,350
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$-1,723
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$-1,198
Will XRP dip to $1.80 in November?$-1,000
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 5.5$-660
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$-568
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?$-507
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5$-500
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.217
Sortino
-0.236
HHI
835
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.148
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.8%
Top-5 markets
50.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.68
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.2
Bot Detection
#610
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 118s — normal for humanCV 1.68 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours18/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal18% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
11.71
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)45.3%
Mid (20-55c)22.7%
High (>55c)32%
Sessions
#126/4/2026, 7:09:30 PM208 trades$29,80312 min
7/12/2026, 12:39:52 AM41 trades$16,7450 min
7/18/2026, 7:41:18 PM9 trades$12,5990 min
6/29/2026, 3:56:26 AM14 trades$11,8543 min
12/4/2025, 5:15:29 AM1 trades$6,6250 min
5/19/2026, 8:38:24 PM24 trades$3,8101 min
4/6/2026, 8:12:01 PM50 trades$3,4838 min
12/7/2025, 6:50:01 PM1 trades$3,0000 min
5/12/2026, 5:12:05 PM13 trades$2,9130 min
5/8/2026, 6:31:26 PM4 trades$2,7000 min
5/13/2026, 9:53:47 PM4 trades$2,5970 min
5/13/2026, 6:55:19 PM10 trades$2,3916 min
11/23/2025, 4:32:55 AM1 trades$2,3220 min
5/13/2026, 4:43:11 PM17 trades$2,1610 min
6/18/2026, 5:54:46 AM29 trades$2,1376 min
11/21/2025, 4:51:45 PM1 trades$2,0290 min
7/7/2026, 5:07:59 PM12 trades$1,8150 min
11/19/2025, 7:56:13 PM1 trades$1,5000 min
1/14/2026, 7:37:50 PM1 trades$1,5000 min
2/3/2026, 2:13:10 AM1 trades$1,5000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-21
12-05
01-09
01-14
02-04
05-14
07-12
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 220 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
68.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.71/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L45.3 / M22.7 / H32