@marario

#3,000,43510

0x3d74031b1e464ac2a662aac0b17536668972596b

~100d· 431 markets · 1242 tradesVol: $174,8482026-08-26 09:58:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

9% (37/431)0/20
0.41x (win $1,301 / loss $3,204)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.7340/15
Sortino -7.9480/10
$-0.4943 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 146 (431 markets)10/10
10/96 profitable days (10%)0/10
Max DD 1801% of peak ($2,015 / $112)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
90% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

2
CRYPTO#1,657,972$-1,430Vol: $175,353
SPORTS#493,218$0Vol: $12

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,430
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$174,848
Total Redeem
$51
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
431
total markets
Trades
803B / 439S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~100d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-14
Vol: $182
Month
$30
Vol: $6,395
All Time
$-1,430
Vol: $174,848

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
9%
37W / 394L events
Realized PnL
$-1,406
Win Rate
9%
37W / 394L
Profit Factor
0.41x
Avg Win
$35
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $547 (0.3892931577786788% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 3?$265
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15?$161
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 25?$122
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 2-8?$106
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1?$104
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on March 12?$91
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$73
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 27?$54
Solana Up or Down - March 7, 3AM ET$32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 17?$30

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 18?$-242
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?$-135
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 3?$-120
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?$-101
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 20?$-90
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 3?$-68
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$-67
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 6?$-60
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 6?$-54
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 23-March 1?$-47

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.403
Sortino
-0.472
HHI
221
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.460
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.3%
Top-5 markets
27%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.4
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 796s — normal for humanCV 2.71 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal2.4 markets/day — normal25% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.94
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)89.9%
Mid (20-55c)6.6%
High (>55c)3.5%

Sessions

#12
4/6/2026, 4:09:33 AM12 trades$9160 min
8/7/2026, 9:46:04 AM3 trades$7030 min
5/19/2026, 9:43:49 PM13 trades$5485 min
5/19/2026, 6:59:39 PM20 trades$4942 min
7/23/2026, 10:27:10 AM2 trades$4760 min
4/22/2026, 5:04:06 PM6 trades$4180 min
4/26/2026, 9:01:34 AM6 trades$3514 min
3/4/2026, 3:51:21 PM3 trades$3394 min
5/19/2026, 8:10:29 AM4 trades$3350 min
8/8/2026, 8:52:10 AM7 trades$3321 min
4/24/2026, 2:57:20 PM6 trades$3054 min
7/13/2026, 2:11:11 AM10 trades$2961 min
3/2/2026, 3:30:47 PM1 trades$2950 min
6/13/2026, 6:39:19 PM14 trades$2942 min
4/28/2026, 7:34:40 PM8 trades$2772 min
6/15/2026, 5:33:25 PM4 trades$2670 min
6/12/2026, 5:29:16 PM6 trades$2672 min
6/13/2026, 3:25:16 PM5 trades$2611 min
4/27/2026, 11:56:18 PM6 trades$2590 min
3/31/2026, 5:17:29 PM15 trades$25810 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-10
02-27
03-15
04-22
05-10
06-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 159 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.94/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L89.9 / M6.6 / H3.5