@markmattersoon
#3,068,77500xe042c54198b1318d043c93cdd303f2ecdd65f206
~17d· 52 markets · 326 tradesVol: $112,5382026-09-23 03:18:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
20% (10/50)0/20
0.37x (win $609 / loss $1,643)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -9.1910/15
Sortino -9.9490/10
$-0.2834 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3849 (50 markets)0/10
2/14 profitable days (14%)0/10
Max DD 1876% of peak ($1,093 / $58)0/10
Badges
1Lottery Player
72% entries < $0.20
Categories
4🏛️ POLITICS#1,628,155$-1,468Vol: $96,988
📢 MENTIONS#173,096$-182Vol: $13,112
₿ CRYPTO#1,572,126$-224Vol: $2,042
💰 FINANCE#575,897$-10Vol: $292
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,934
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$112,538
Total Redeem
$1
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
52
total markets
Trades
140B / 186S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~17d
Periods
#2Week
$-851
Vol: $81,445
Month
$-851
Vol: $81,445
All Time
$-1,934
Vol: $112,538
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
21%
10W / 37L events
Realized PnL
$-1,934
Win Rate
21%
10W / 37L
Profit Factor
0.37x
Avg Win
$61
Avg Loss
$-43
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $565 (0.29233743809257934% of PnL)
Top Winners
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$353
Will Trump say "Iran" during Tele-Rally?$183
Will Trump say "Poll" 2+ times during Tele-Rally?$29
Will Trump say "Peace" 20+ times during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?$17
Will Ukraine join the Board of Peace?$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$7
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$5
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?$4
Will Powell say "Comment" during March press conference?$1
Will Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$0
Top Losers
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$-200
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$-195
Will France strike Iran by March 31?$-150
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$-108
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?$-103
Will Trump say "Knicks" during Tele-Rally?$-100
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during March press conference?$-100
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?$-92
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$-58
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?$-54
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.464
Sortino
-0.729
HHI
635
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.338
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.7%
Top-5 markets
43.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
52s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.06
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
36
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.1
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 52s — normal for humanCV 3.06 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern14/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 22:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.44
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)72.1%
Mid (20-55c)20%
High (>55c)7.9%
Sessions
#129/20/2026, 4:26:21 PM65 trades$10,2044 min
6/8/2026, 10:23:24 PM109 trades$2,14412 min
9/21/2026, 7:53:17 AM9 trades$1,3743 min
6/8/2026, 9:25:46 PM11 trades$4591 min
3/2/2026, 1:00:19 AM3 trades$2305 min
3/5/2026, 1:49:13 AM18 trades$19812 min
2/27/2026, 2:53:43 PM1 trades$1900 min
3/2/2026, 2:25:57 AM2 trades$1801 min
3/18/2026, 6:47:25 PM32 trades$1545 min
3/2/2026, 6:27:17 PM1 trades$1160 min
3/2/2026, 1:23:27 AM1 trades$1120 min
3/4/2026, 12:43:39 PM24 trades$9922 min
3/4/2026, 12:09:11 PM1 trades$950 min
3/2/2026, 8:16:05 PM1 trades$900 min
1/21/2026, 11:49:08 PM2 trades$860 min
1/29/2026, 11:27:26 PM3 trades$825 min
1/28/2026, 12:00:15 AM2 trades$751 min
1/22/2026, 9:55:04 PM4 trades$488 min
3/4/2026, 12:30:59 PM4 trades$426 min
1/21/2026, 11:55:22 PM3 trades$394 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-21
01-28
02-27
03-04
03-16
03-26
09-20
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 205 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.44/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L72.1 / M20 / H7.9