@marmot3

#3,97315

0xcfbb6b28819a87076db76ecc933658b630b44197

~101d· 4981 markets · 26872 tradesVol: $5,109,0892026-08-26 09:12:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

23% (1148/4979)0/20
0.31x (win $59,908 / loss $195,228)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.4140/15
Sortino -3.3750/10
$-0.2998 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 9 (4979 markets)10/10
49/101 profitable days (49%)4.6/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($159,801 / $0)0/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+45,080
Lottery Player
90% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
8% sells
Whale
$451,307 invested
High Roller
$3,201/day
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
85% maker orders

Categories

1
CRYPTO#906$45,728Vol: $5,109,089

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$45,728
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,109,089
Total Redeem
$2,179,786
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
4981
total markets
Trades
24801B / 2071S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~101d

Periods

#2
Today
$-194
Vol: $2,656
Week
$-1,549
Vol: $202,264
Month
$2,195
Vol: $435,844
All Time
$45,728
Vol: $5,109,089

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
23%
1148W / 3831L events
Realized PnL
$45,080
Win Rate
23%
1148W / 3831L
Profit Factor
0.31x
Avg Win
$52
Avg Loss
$-51

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,553 (0.07881638554558962% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$1,263
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$1,156
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$1,134
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$1,134
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$1,134
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$1,076
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$1,025
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$1,021
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$1,017
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$1,016

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$-891
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$-891
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$-792
Solana Up or Down - March 31, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$-792
XRP Up or Down - April 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$-643
XRP Up or Down - March 31, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$-572
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$-495
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$-495
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$-495
$-495

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.178
Sortino
-0.132
HHI
10
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.300
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.4%
Top-5 markets
1.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
190.6
Very active
Markets / Day
35.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
10s
between trades
Avg Gap
15.8m
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.52
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
14 min
Avg Trades / Session
19.9

Bot Detection

#6
90
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 10s — suspiciously fastCV 4.52 — diverse sizes (human-like)32% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock191 trades/day — automation35 markets/day — mass coverage85% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.39
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)90.5%
Mid (20-55c)1.2%
High (>55c)8.3%

Sessions

#12
4/1/2026, 12:14:49 AM100 trades$5,98020 min
3/28/2026, 1:00:01 PM14 trades$5,34134 min
3/30/2026, 10:19:52 AM14 trades$4,94230 min
3/30/2026, 8:50:01 PM11 trades$4,89125 min
3/28/2026, 11:54:37 AM16 trades$4,29030 min
3/29/2026, 10:19:54 AM14 trades$3,91119 min
3/29/2026, 10:44:54 AM9 trades$3,80419 min
3/29/2026, 9:19:58 AM12 trades$3,75115 min
3/31/2026, 1:34:51 PM9 trades$3,50914 min
4/1/2026, 12:34:07 PM73 trades$3,34711 min
3/28/2026, 8:35:02 PM11 trades$3,28920 min
4/1/2026, 11:30:05 AM104 trades$3,15210 min
3/29/2026, 9:44:58 PM15 trades$3,04215 min
3/30/2026, 7:20:00 AM10 trades$2,97020 min
3/31/2026, 3:03:53 AM6 trades$2,90316 min
3/28/2026, 1:19:19 AM14 trades$2,84920 min
3/31/2026, 4:34:59 PM20 trades$2,7058 min
4/1/2026, 4:00:05 AM36 trades$2,6890 min
3/29/2026, 12:34:12 PM10 trades$2,67211 min
3/28/2026, 10:49:59 AM9 trades$2,67215 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-26
05-03
06-04
06-20
07-06
07-22
08-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
7.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.39/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L90.5 / M1.2 / H8.3