@marshalljeremy

#1,463,19717

0x669cd00e049ee6adaa49841de2c7aacf7c6ff94d

~29d· 45 markets · 51 tradesVol: $4,4472026-10-08 02:14:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

36% (16/44)3.2/20
0.08x (win $0 / loss $3)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.6240/15
Sortino -5.4020/10
$-0.0339 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 293 (44 markets)10/10
13/28 profitable days (46%)4.1/10
Max DD 7050% of peak ($3 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Diamond Hands
10% sells

Categories

6
⚽ SPORTS#941,613$-1Vol: $1,913
🏛️ POLITICS#934,730$-1Vol: $1,389
🎭 CULTURE#477,395$-0Vol: $1,094
₿ CRYPTO#589,315$0Vol: $23
💰 FINANCE#365,750$-0Vol: $22
💻 TECH#123,540$0Vol: $6

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,447
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
45
total markets
Trades
46B / 5S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~29d

Periods

#2
Month
$-0
Vol: $10
All Time
$-3
Vol: $4,447

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
36%
16W / 28L events
Realized PnL
$-3
Win Rate
36%
16W / 28L
Profit Factor
0.08x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $0 (0.042471042471042476% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$0
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$0
Mike Johnson out as Speaker before inauguration?$0
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $290 in May?$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $80K in August?$0
Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC?$0
U.S. forces in Gaza before July?$0
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before June?$0
Will SBF launch a coin before April?$0
Will another country launch a memecoin in February?$0

Top Losers

Will Christian Lindner be the next Chancellor of Germany?$-1
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-1
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2025?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.289
Sortino
-0.226
HHI
239
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.036
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.5%
Top-5 markets
22.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.6h
between trades
Avg Gap
6.5h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.54
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
48
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.1

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 13137s — normal for humanCV 0.54 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours18/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal6% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.11
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.5%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)93.5%

Sessions

#12
9/26/2026, 7:02:18 PM2 trades$50 min
10/20/2025, 7:46:01 PM1 trades$40 min
9/23/2025, 9:54:50 PM1 trades$40 min
5/16/2026, 12:11:21 PM2 trades$40 min
10/21/2025, 10:33:17 AM1 trades$30 min
1/28/2025, 12:02:10 AM1 trades$30 min
1/10/2025, 7:20:31 PM1 trades$30 min
8/26/2025, 6:08:49 AM1 trades$20 min
1/11/2025, 1:12:33 AM1 trades$20 min
1/28/2025, 11:38:07 PM1 trades$20 min
1/10/2025, 11:38:23 PM1 trades$20 min
4/22/2025, 8:34:16 PM1 trades$20 min
6/16/2025, 4:55:42 AM1 trades$20 min
4/8/2025, 2:58:22 AM1 trades$20 min
8/29/2025, 1:30:57 AM1 trades$20 min
6/17/2025, 11:38:20 PM1 trades$20 min
5/16/2026, 12:42:18 PM2 trades$20 min
3/11/2025, 6:40:31 PM1 trades$10 min
3/11/2025, 11:22:07 PM1 trades$10 min
2/18/2025, 7:30:19 PM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-10
02-18
03-17
05-14
06-18
10-20
01-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 87 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
9.8% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.11/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.5 / M0 / H93.5