@meagher
#81,151680x275152bacc481e8fd2a7e673d45ae5ae5e573666
~29d· 41 markets · 108 tradesVol: $22,1632026-10-08 01:19:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
68
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
48% (19/40)8.7/20
1.89x (win $2,259 / loss $1,197)13.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.00215/15
Sortino 9.89210/10
$+0.1041 per $1 invested5.2/10
HHI 1439 (40 markets)5.3/10
14/22 profitable days (64%)8.4/10
Max DD 60% of peak ($691 / $1,145)1.9/10
Badges
2Profitable
PnL $+992
Consistent
14/22 profitable days
Categories
5🎭 CULTURE#12,481$240Vol: $8,823
📈 ECONOMICS#5,800$359Vol: $7,689
⚽ SPORTS#80,285$240Vol: $3,047
🏛️ POLITICS#47,784$181Vol: $2,096
📢 MENTIONS#153,204$-27Vol: $508
Overview
#1Net PnL
$992
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$22,163
Total Redeem
$43
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
41
total markets
Trades
58B / 50S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~29d
Periods
#2Week
$-17
Vol: $167
Month
$-19
Vol: $667
All Time
$992
Vol: $22,163
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
48%
19W / 21L events
Realized PnL
$992
Win Rate
48%
19W / 21L
Profit Factor
1.89x
Avg Win
$119
Avg Loss
$-63
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,135 (1.1441879221695737% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$608
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?$272
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$255
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning $208
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$204
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finland$171
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$157
49ers vs. Rams$127
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$103
US government shutdown Saturday?$63
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-597
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?$-178
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-80
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$-59
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?$-40
Will Warsh say "Job Market" during June Press Conference?$-40
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?$-40
Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during June Press Conference?$-40
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?$-30
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?$-30
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.256
Sortino
0.415
HHI
2612
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.095
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
39.8%
Top-5 markets
86.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.39
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
48
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 434s — normal for humanCV 2.39 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern13/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal24% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 13:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.15
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)24.1%
Mid (20-55c)17.2%
High (>55c)58.6%
Sessions
#1210/29/2025, 11:46:05 AM1 trades$2,0000 min
10/9/2025, 3:05:26 PM1 trades$1,9990 min
10/9/2025, 3:16:08 PM1 trades$1,4990 min
10/29/2025, 1:41:47 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
7/29/2026, 12:02:38 PM3 trades$6520 min
10/9/2025, 2:58:12 PM1 trades$5580 min
9/28/2026, 7:39:32 PM2 trades$5000 min
4/20/2026, 6:20:14 PM2 trades$4170 min
2/20/2026, 6:05:50 PM1 trades$3710 min
5/4/2026, 7:21:50 PM2 trades$3330 min
4/13/2026, 11:02:41 AM2 trades$2790 min
2/3/2026, 9:06:02 PM1 trades$2630 min
9/11/2025, 12:05:17 PM1 trades$2410 min
5/7/2026, 1:25:25 PM9 trades$2281 min
4/20/2026, 5:14:36 PM2 trades$2040 min
9/9/2025, 2:02:00 PM1 trades$2000 min
12/4/2025, 8:28:35 PM1 trades$2000 min
1/28/2026, 5:18:46 PM1 trades$2000 min
4/10/2026, 6:09:59 PM2 trades$2000 min
5/7/2026, 11:26:14 AM3 trades$1840 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-04
09-08
09-22
10-29
02-03
03-18
05-07
07-29
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 58 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.15/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L24.1 / M17.2 / H58.6