@melanienelson

#1,697,93910

0x5a6ba73a7e7eb9a54ccc5cd72fe72273ef55ce6f

~67d· 41 markets · 110 tradesVol: $13,1782026-09-21 18:54:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

15% (4/26)0/20
0.46x (win $2 / loss $5)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.1590/15
Sortino -6.1850/10
$-0.0007 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 559 (26 markets)9.7/10
4/23 profitable days (17%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($5 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

5
⚽ SPORTS#1,148,711$-3Vol: $6,760
🏛️ POLITICS#1,015,213$-2Vol: $4,887
₿ CRYPTO#851,919$-1Vol: $782
📈 ECONOMICS#218,191$0Vol: $466
🎭 CULTURE#347,399$-0Vol: $283

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-7
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,178
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
41
total markets
Trades
53B / 57S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~67d

Periods

#2
Week
$-0
Vol: $221
Month
$-0
Vol: $756
All Time
$-7
Vol: $13,178

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
15%
4W / 22L events
Realized PnL
$-7
Win Rate
15%
4W / 22L
Profit Factor
0.46x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2 (0.35820895522388063% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$0

Top Losers

Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 13?$-1
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-0
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-0
Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-0
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?$-0
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$-0
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-0
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.213
Sortino
-0.379
HHI
320
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.1%
Top-5 markets
30.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
16.7h
between trades
Avg Gap
10.7h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.51
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 60137s — normal for humanCV 0.50 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal8% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.19
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18.9%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)81.1%

Sessions

#12
5/31/2026, 8:48:30 AM2 trades$1760 min
11/12/2025, 9:36:14 PM1 trades$980 min
11/15/2025, 4:16:00 AM1 trades$970 min
11/27/2025, 10:39:55 PM1 trades$970 min
11/29/2025, 1:44:01 AM1 trades$970 min
12/1/2025, 11:09:24 PM1 trades$970 min
11/12/2025, 4:15:38 AM2 trades$971 min
12/2/2025, 6:16:04 PM1 trades$970 min
11/25/2025, 11:15:15 AM1 trades$960 min
11/20/2025, 9:39:03 PM1 trades$960 min
11/27/2025, 4:15:33 AM1 trades$960 min
11/22/2025, 5:07:29 PM1 trades$960 min
11/9/2025, 8:44:11 PM1 trades$960 min
1/11/2026, 3:06:04 AM3 trades$961 min
12/6/2025, 10:45:17 PM1 trades$960 min
12/18/2025, 10:28:47 PM1 trades$960 min
12/7/2025, 6:39:17 PM1 trades$950 min
12/21/2025, 7:32:58 PM1 trades$950 min
1/2/2026, 12:04:39 AM1 trades$950 min
11/16/2025, 4:49:36 AM1 trades$950 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-12
12-01
12-14
12-27
01-09
01-23
01-27
05-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.19/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18.9 / M0 / H81.1