@melchior1248

#95473

0x36901eb0f21519cc9055662a6d2483e96da1e16f

~203d· 5932 markets · 466845 tradesVol: $27,673,9702026-08-02 07:18:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

73
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

66% (3724/5614)18.2/20
1.16x (win $125,651 / loss $108,428)4.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.25315/15
Sortino 4.37810/10
$+0.0137 per $1 invested0.7/10
HHI 8 (5614 markets)10/10
121/201 profitable days (60%)7.5/10
Max DD 34% of peak ($6,176 / $18,159)7.2/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 66%
Profitable
PnL $+213,286
Diamond Hands
4% sells
DCA Master
Avg 8.0 entries/market
Whale
$1,256,275 invested
Consistent
121/201 profitable days
High Roller
$6,158/day
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🎭 CULTURE#180$40,861Vol: $10,275,311
₿ CRYPTO#834$47,719Vol: $6,997,614
⚽ SPORTS#1,396$48,837Vol: $4,404,969
🏛️ POLITICS#862$58,458Vol: $2,651,046
💰 FINANCE#787$6,949Vol: $1,628,465
🌤️ WEATHER#452$4,475Vol: $775,495
📈 ECONOMICS#2,555$1,329Vol: $293,917
💻 TECH#502$3,628Vol: $164,719

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$213,307
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$27,673,970
Total Redeem
$213,292
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
5932
total markets
Trades
30484B / 16598S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~203d

Periods

#2
Today
$9
Vol: $994
Week
$22
Vol: $994
Month
$13
Vol: $4,767
All Time
$213,307
Vol: $27,673,970

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
69%
7345W / 3295L events
Realized PnL
$213,286
Win Rate
69%
7345W / 3295L
Profit Factor
1.16x
Avg Win
$34
Avg Loss
$-61

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,354 (0.0344777677401133% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$2,995
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$2,637
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$1,722
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$1,715
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?$1,691
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$1,322
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$1,314
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1,142
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$1,090
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?$1,066

Top Losers

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-3,190
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$-2,906
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-1,787
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?$-1,774
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-1,770
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$-1,753
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$-1,683
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-1,563
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$-1,551
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$-1,276

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.118
Sortino
0.171
HHI
7
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.015
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.4%
Top-5 markets
1.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2288.5
Very active
Markets / Day
29.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
12.5m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.55
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
27 min
Avg Trades / Session
82.0

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 194s — normal for humanCV 1.55 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2288 trades/day — automation29 markets/day — mass coverage4% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.04
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.8%
Mid (20-55c)12.9%
High (>55c)72.3%

Sessions

#12
5/16/2026, 10:15:08 PM299 trades$9,53323 min
4/12/2026, 7:28:05 PM128 trades$8,75358 min
2/24/2026, 3:21:04 PM129 trades$6,11982 min
4/12/2026, 5:50:17 PM123 trades$6,11076 min
7/3/2026, 11:38:37 PM116 trades$4,9419 min
4/6/2026, 11:22:07 AM27 trades$4,6949 min
5/11/2026, 2:44:37 PM225 trades$4,53558 min
2/13/2026, 2:46:13 PM66 trades$4,49427 min
3/7/2026, 8:21:17 AM72 trades$4,05240 min
4/28/2026, 1:23:58 PM114 trades$3,80829 min
5/16/2026, 10:45:14 PM55 trades$3,46915 min
3/2/2026, 4:12:01 PM72 trades$3,29055 min
3/20/2026, 10:25:01 AM18 trades$3,21225 min
7/1/2026, 5:46:59 PM83 trades$3,12321 min
2/10/2026, 11:18:35 PM39 trades$3,09912 min
2/18/2026, 3:32:28 PM46 trades$3,07819 min
5/13/2026, 1:54:38 PM510 trades$3,04434 min
2/17/2026, 2:02:19 PM67 trades$2,97273 min
5/11/2026, 7:57:28 PM302 trades$2,95152 min
3/16/2026, 12:20:11 AM57 trades$2,92540 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-10
02-13
03-18
04-20
05-23
06-27
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 22 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
3.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.04/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.8 / M12.9 / H72.3