@mercury777

#3,098,77522

0x4e73d4ae46d9a9f633938144ad10c19a893dac97

~56d· 236 markets · 1502 tradesVol: $619,9332026-08-23 11:06:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (115/235)9.5/20
0.76x (win $44,762 / loss $58,639)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.6560/15
Sortino -2.9710/10
$-0.1163 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 229 (235 markets)10/10
22/54 profitable days (41%)2.7/10
Max DD 3912% of peak ($16,609 / $425)0/10

Badges

5
DCA Master
Avg 6.6 entries/market
Whale
$119,345 invested
High Roller
$1,681/day
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
SPORTS#1,894,396$-17,240Vol: $578,142
CRYPTO#1,645,862$-1,163Vol: $41,779

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-18,407
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$619,933
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
236
total markets
Trades
476B / 1026S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~56d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1,685
Vol: $775
Week
$-670
Vol: $775
Month
$-4,573
Vol: $136,415
All Time
$-18,407
Vol: $619,933

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
115W / 120L events
Realized PnL
$-18,407
Win Rate
49%
115W / 120L
Profit Factor
0.76x
Avg Win
$389
Avg Loss
$-533

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $13,498 (0.7332998315858098% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?$5,451
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$4,247
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?$3,800
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5$2,800
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5$2,240
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles$1,381
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5$1,294
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$1,288
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5$1,079
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?$996

Top Losers

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?$-10,303
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5$-4,200
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$-4,000
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$-4,000
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$-3,756
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$-2,464
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?$-1,774
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5$-1,650
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Jessica Pieri vs Maria Lourdes Carle$-1,270
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-1,108

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.138
Sortino
-0.135
HHI
263
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.115
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.9%
Top-5 markets
28.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
21.2
Active
Markets / Day
3.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.7

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 506s — normal for humanCV 2.57 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock21 trades/day — high frequency3.3 markets/day — normal32% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.65
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.3%
Mid (20-55c)33.4%
High (>55c)56.3%

Sessions

#12
6/21/2026, 1:07:47 PM8 trades$13,0625 min
6/22/2026, 1:30:32 AM5 trades$11,7080 min
7/4/2026, 7:03:25 PM5 trades$9,8232 min
6/21/2026, 2:56:35 AM5 trades$9,2240 min
7/3/2026, 7:20:26 PM2 trades$7,9920 min
7/4/2026, 11:11:04 PM2 trades$7,9920 min
6/20/2026, 9:58:31 PM10 trades$6,1590 min
6/21/2026, 10:02:34 PM2 trades$6,1000 min
6/20/2026, 7:24:50 PM6 trades$6,0631 min
6/20/2026, 4:38:49 AM7 trades$5,8820 min
7/19/2026, 7:59:16 PM8 trades$5,2790 min
6/20/2026, 7:26:11 AM2 trades$4,7600 min
7/26/2026, 4:14:57 AM14 trades$4,2116 min
7/3/2026, 7:00:26 PM2 trades$4,0000 min
6/25/2026, 5:45:10 AM16 trades$3,55010 min
7/9/2026, 11:02:35 AM149 trades$3,25321 min
7/1/2026, 6:01:52 PM4 trades$3,0000 min
7/4/2026, 6:01:01 AM2 trades$2,9400 min
6/25/2026, 11:19:11 PM10 trades$2,8111 min
7/28/2026, 1:42:13 AM11 trades$2,4552 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-13
06-22
07-03
07-13
07-22
08-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 35 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
68.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.65/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.3 / M33.4 / H56.3