@mercurys

#95,57364

0x47674a529b47236b0a30ca5dfc446b834e086daf

~14d· 16 markets · 65 tradesVol: $11,9662026-08-04 17:09:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

64
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

31% (4/13)0.4/20
2.38x (win $3,801 / loss $1,598)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 7.22515/15
Sortino 42.10810/10
$+0.3417 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1870 (13 markets)3.1/10
3/9 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 21% of peak ($573 / $2,776)9.9/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+735
Cool Head
Max DD 21%

Categories

4
SPORTS#1,742,742$-207Vol: $6,774
🏛️ POLITICS#52,222$149Vol: $2,080
💰 FINANCE#5,167$745Vol: $1,931
🎭 CULTURE#31,024$49Vol: $1,180

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$735
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,966
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
16
total markets
Trades
27B / 38S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d

Periods

#2
Today
$11
Vol: $0
Week
$15
Vol: $25
Month
$8
Vol: $25
All Time
$735
Vol: $11,966

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
31%
4W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$735
Win Rate
31%
4W / 9L
Profit Factor
2.38x
Avg Win
$950
Avg Loss
$-200

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,794 (5.158610374600585% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2,900
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?$745
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$149
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)$7

Top Losers

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$-1,000
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$-200
La Velada del Año 6: Marta Díaz vs. Tatiana Käer$-147
La Velada del Año 6: Clersss vs Natalia MX$-100
La Velada del Año 6: La Parce vs Fabiana Sevillano$-84
La Velada del Año 6: IlloJuan vs TheGrefg$-36
Will Murray die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$-25
La Velada del Año 6: Lit Killah vs Kidd Keo$-7

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.356
Sortino
2.464
HHI
2477
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.318
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
32.6%
Top-5 markets
99%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.7h
between trades
Avg Gap
5.7h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
26
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 13399s — normal for humanCV 1.75 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.85
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.4%
Mid (20-55c)25.9%
High (>55c)66.7%

Sessions

#12
2/28/2026, 9:34:59 PM1 trades$1,9310 min
12/25/2025, 10:08:15 PM1 trades$1,1860 min
5/30/2026, 6:39:32 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
5/30/2026, 5:09:02 PM2 trades$8470 min
5/30/2026, 6:51:30 PM1 trades$5500 min
7/23/2026, 12:08:21 PM8 trades$4300 min
7/23/2026, 12:01:12 PM6 trades$3710 min
6/15/2026, 2:32:57 PM2 trades$3500 min
7/19/2026, 5:16:13 PM2 trades$3170 min
7/11/2026, 8:39:13 PM2 trades$3130 min
7/24/2026, 8:40:25 AM6 trades$2510 min
7/23/2026, 9:51:33 PM4 trades$1970 min
7/24/2026, 6:17:54 PM4 trades$1710 min
7/26/2026, 12:38:16 AM7 trades$1240 min
7/27/2026, 7:27:31 PM1 trades$1120 min
7/24/2026, 8:12:40 AM2 trades$1000 min
7/26/2026, 7:19:22 AM1 trades$650 min
7/25/2026, 6:08:27 PM2 trades$452 min
7/25/2026, 11:02:39 PM3 trades$430 min
7/24/2026, 4:29:21 AM1 trades$430 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-25
12-31
02-28
05-30
07-11
07-19
07-24
07-25
07-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 57 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.85/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.4 / M25.9 / H66.7