@metatip
#3,103,41040xb464f7d54cb410926a8afd9f86d69edc42531d98
~40d· 53 markets · 840 tradesVol: $635,8672026-08-26 09:11:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
4
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
22% (11/50)0/20
0.15x (win $12,421 / loss $80,419)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.9590/15
Sortino -6.6660/10
$-0.9316 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1611 (50 markets)4.4/10
4/24 profitable days (17%)0/10
Max DD 744% of peak ($78,552 / $10,553)0/10
Badges
3Lottery Player
76% entries < $0.20
Whale
$72,988 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
3🏛️ POLITICS#1,651,473$-18,145Vol: $633,788
⚽ SPORTS#160,236$55Vol: $1,494
💰 FINANCE#642,001$-122Vol: $585
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-18,213
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$635,867
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
53
total markets
Trades
480B / 360S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~40d
Periods
#2Month
$-195
Vol: $13,010
All Time
$-18,213
Vol: $635,867
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
22%
11W / 39L events
Realized PnL
$-18,213
Win Rate
22%
11W / 39L
Profit Factor
0.15x
Avg Win
$1,129
Avg Loss
$-2,062
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $11,384 (0.6250291691260244% of PnL)
Top Winners
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$7,305
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$3,504
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$574
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$330
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$281
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$228
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$75
Iran leadership change by March 31?$42
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$39
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?$38
Top Losers
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-32,633
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$-18,266
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$-9,612
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-6,761
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$-4,853
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$-1,248
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$-833
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$-796
Iran leadership change by May 31?$-605
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?$-551
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.357
Sortino
-0.347
HHI
5384
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.626
Kelly %
1.2%
Half-Kelly
0.6%
Top-1 market
64.4%
Top-5 markets
127.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
5.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.8
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 248s — normal for humanCV 3.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 12:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
17.6
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)75.8%
Mid (20-55c)14%
High (>55c)10.2%
Sessions
#125/18/2026, 7:16:22 PM17 trades$21,5024 min
5/21/2026, 12:39:01 PM71 trades$19,5343 min
3/17/2026, 11:55:23 PM2 trades$10,3571 min
4/12/2026, 9:55:33 AM27 trades$9,2524 min
3/13/2026, 5:43:25 PM2 trades$9,0731 min
3/31/2026, 11:56:07 PM3 trades$8,9362 min
5/3/2026, 11:45:56 AM23 trades$8,70711 min
5/7/2026, 6:42:20 PM21 trades$8,5792 min
3/13/2026, 5:14:35 PM2 trades$7,0671 min
3/13/2026, 5:26:15 PM5 trades$6,9137 min
4/1/2026, 12:38:37 PM12 trades$6,6502 min
3/18/2026, 1:52:39 PM3 trades$6,1502 min
5/8/2026, 8:40:37 PM8 trades$5,4350 min
5/18/2026, 7:25:40 PM11 trades$5,2210 min
8/9/2026, 4:14:25 PM12 trades$5,1170 min
4/11/2026, 6:48:45 AM23 trades$4,3142 min
4/4/2026, 6:37:59 PM9 trades$4,2360 min
3/18/2026, 9:30:55 PM4 trades$4,2136 min
5/7/2026, 10:17:05 AM7 trades$3,4751 min
6/10/2026, 12:25:03 PM31 trades$2,9941 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-25
03-07
03-17
03-31
04-12
05-12
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 102 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.6/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L75.8 / M14 / H10.2