@michaelo7
#3,034,196150xa0ec807a64dc53c85a345b2a7e5f06de7248f7da
~60d· 218 markets · 1250 tradesVol: $223,9492026-08-26 09:58:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
39% (85/216)4.7/20
0.42x (win $7,993 / loss $19,249)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.3620/15
Sortino -4.3420/10
$-0.4657 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 188 (216 markets)10/10
19/59 profitable days (32%)0.6/10
Max DD 3165% of peak ($13,301 / $420)0/10
Badges
3Contrarian
54% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
2🏛️ POLITICS#42,000$227Vol: $133,529
⚽ SPORTS#1,871,979$-2,285Vol: $90,420
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-2,058
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$223,949
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
218
total markets
Trades
358B / 892S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~60d
Periods
#2Week
$11
Vol: $0
Month
$253
Vol: $131,880
All Time
$-2,058
Vol: $223,949
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
39%
84W / 131L events
Realized PnL
$-2,025
Win Rate
39%
84W / 131L
Profit Factor
0.42x
Avg Win
$94
Avg Loss
$-166
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,668 (0.8236961815245255% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$688
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$579
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals$400
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?$335
Spread: Norway (-1.5)$313
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$285
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals$269
Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 1 South Africa?$268
Harry Kane: 1+ goals$244
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?$241
Top Losers
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-5,229
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$-2,339
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)$-1,838
Spread: Spain (-2.5)$-731
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?$-584
Spread: Spain (-4.5)$-539
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?$-471
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)$-406
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)$-319
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$-296
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.226
Sortino
-0.199
HHI
340
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.395
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.8%
Top-5 markets
32.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
7.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.1
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 614s — normal for humanCV 1.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal1.3 markets/day — normal20% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 11:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.23
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)20.4%
Mid (20-55c)33.2%
High (>55c)46.4%
Sessions
#128/11/2026, 11:02:10 AM482 trades$2,1490 min
6/17/2026, 5:07:47 PM6 trades$1,8445 min
6/17/2026, 7:16:31 PM8 trades$1,4938 min
6/18/2026, 5:36:32 PM8 trades$1,1768 min
6/18/2026, 8:57:14 AM4 trades$1,1541 min
8/11/2026, 12:09:31 PM2 trades$1,0320 min
6/16/2026, 9:10:32 PM6 trades$1,0113 min
6/29/2026, 6:35:35 PM4 trades$9592 min
7/4/2026, 9:18:07 PM4 trades$9333 min
6/16/2026, 10:40:52 PM6 trades$8924 min
6/21/2026, 4:24:38 PM16 trades$8504 min
6/19/2026, 10:09:22 PM8 trades$8046 min
6/18/2026, 10:14:02 PM6 trades$7232 min
6/18/2026, 6:44:11 AM2 trades$6700 min
6/14/2026, 1:04:06 AM6 trades$6263 min
6/18/2026, 7:21:55 PM2 trades$6110 min
6/20/2026, 5:36:23 PM15 trades$5727 min
6/21/2026, 7:42:25 PM4 trades$5431 min
6/19/2026, 9:37:52 PM4 trades$5431 min
6/17/2026, 9:24:01 PM6 trades$5313 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-28
03-11
03-25
04-12
05-06
06-19
07-02
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 118 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
71.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.23/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L20.4 / M33.2 / H46.4