@michamicha
#123,261930xdcc1611076fd4ef43d3401403eae0b9d8f16d076
~52d· 74 markets · 400 tradesVol: $26,7622026-10-06 20:36:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
93
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
73% (48/66)20/20
2.24x (win $2,668 / loss $1,193)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.76415/15
Sortino 10.32210/10
$+0.1174 per $1 invested5.9/10
HHI 475 (66 markets)10/10
18/26 profitable days (69%)9.8/10
Max DD 35% of peak ($614 / $1,735)6.9/10
Badges
5Sniper
Win rate 73%
Profitable
PnL $+405
Consistent
18/26 profitable days
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
Categories
6₿ CRYPTO#66,966$164Vol: $12,314
💰 FINANCE#13,914$163Vol: $8,886
⚽ SPORTS#78,649$251Vol: $2,553
🎭 CULTURE#715,249$-15Vol: $1,586
🏛️ POLITICS#1,518,144$-84Vol: $720
📈 ECONOMICS#666,022$-64Vol: $704
Overview
#1Net PnL
$416
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$26,762
Total Redeem
$1,955
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
74
total markets
Trades
176B / 224S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~52d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $71
Week
$16
Vol: $146
Month
$0
Vol: $2,737
All Time
$416
Vol: $26,762
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
73%
48W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$405
Win Rate
73%
48W / 18L
Profit Factor
2.24x
Avg Win
$56
Avg Loss
$-70
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,980 (4.893640161158761% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,255
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$549
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$175
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$136
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$91
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$68
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?$42
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$34
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by February 28?$29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$29
Top Losers
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-444
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$-260
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-100
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$-100
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$-50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$-40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$-40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$-40
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$-30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$-20
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.193
Sortino
0.364
HHI
371
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.136
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.6%
Top-5 markets
35.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.25
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.1
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 370s — normal for humanCV 1.25 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 11:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.88
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)7.4%
Mid (20-55c)23.9%
High (>55c)68.8%
Sessions
#128/28/2026, 10:51:25 AM18 trades$1,6611 min
4/26/2026, 11:26:44 AM27 trades$1,1045 min
5/8/2026, 6:08:48 AM9 trades$9982 min
4/14/2026, 11:22:33 AM2 trades$9380 min
5/22/2026, 9:43:57 AM4 trades$6241 min
4/9/2026, 8:46:37 AM10 trades$5820 min
5/5/2026, 7:59:36 PM7 trades$5533 min
9/16/2026, 7:25:51 AM3 trades$5000 min
1/22/2026, 5:08:16 PM4 trades$4984 min
4/27/2026, 11:56:36 AM21 trades$4684 min
4/19/2026, 6:49:34 PM4 trades$4620 min
4/9/2026, 9:31:01 PM4 trades$4610 min
7/22/2026, 7:13:28 PM8 trades$4502 min
4/21/2026, 5:06:58 PM1 trades$4400 min
4/26/2026, 7:49:44 PM2 trades$4200 min
9/22/2026, 10:47:39 AM3 trades$3970 min
7/11/2026, 8:39:19 PM3 trades$3830 min
4/15/2026, 10:03:10 AM1 trades$3660 min
4/29/2026, 11:26:02 AM29 trades$30610 min
2/2/2026, 7:34:16 AM3 trades$3003 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-10
02-03
04-01
04-27
05-22
07-15
08-28
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 11 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.88/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.4 / M23.9 / H68.8