milkthedip

@milkthedip

#5,54629

0x4eee1f276849a3b98d1e0c0bac458e06cbe75841

~491d· 300 markets · 36541 tradesVol: $13,733,8432026-08-04 10:34:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (148/266)12.8/20
0.60x (win $212,166 / loss $352,499)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.4270/15
Sortino -3.3400/10
$-0.0774 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 385 (266 markets)10/10
81/145 profitable days (56%)6.5/10
Max DD 1844% of peak ($218,298 / $11,840)0/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+30,276
Lottery Player
40% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 132.6 entries/market
Whale
$1,813,966 invested
High Roller
$3,557/day
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
97% maker orders

Categories

6
SPORTS#2,785$20,369Vol: $13,106,082
🏛️ POLITICS#3,804$9,929Vol: $563,734
🎭 CULTURE#20,862$99Vol: $56,484
CRYPTO#1,289,598$-24Vol: $7,132
📢 MENTIONS#34,798$2Vol: $211
📈 ECONOMICS#476,373$-1Vol: $200

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$30,375
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,733,843
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
300
total markets
Trades
28793B / 7748S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~491d

Periods

#2
Today
$42
Vol: $5,037
Week
$-19
Vol: $40,913
Month
$240
Vol: $42,557
All Time
$30,375
Vol: $13,733,843

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
148W / 118L events
Realized PnL
$30,276
Win Rate
56%
148W / 118L
Profit Factor
0.6x
Avg Win
$1,434
Avg Loss
$-3,013

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $151,138 (4.992021072796935% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$73,610
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$62,957
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14,571
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13,028
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$8,891
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4,537
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$3,428
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$3,408
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?$3,337
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$2,742

Top Losers

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-51,068
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-27,817
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-22,167
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-16,145
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-15,790
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-15,326
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-15,238
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-15,227
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-14,195
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-12,575

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.127
Sortino
-0.129
HHI
414
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.080
Kelly %
8.2%
Half-Kelly
4.1%
Top-1 market
11.5%
Top-5 markets
38.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
71.6
Very active
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
22.0m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.16
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
15 min
Avg Trades / Session
23.3

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 132s — normal for humanCV 3.16 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock72 trades/day — mass trading0.6 markets/day — normal97% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
132.63
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)39.8%
Mid (20-55c)13.1%
High (>55c)47.1%

Sessions

#12
7/19/2026, 1:38:31 PM15 trades$10,10713 min
5/27/2026, 3:06:18 AM37 trades$9,32225 min
6/6/2026, 12:29:42 AM16 trades$9,07610 min
7/2/2026, 3:04:02 PM56 trades$8,65955 min
7/6/2026, 5:19:58 PM41 trades$7,89935 min
6/29/2026, 5:18:31 PM6 trades$7,4821 min
6/30/2026, 12:08:11 AM1 trades$7,2150 min
6/27/2026, 5:13:07 AM76 trades$6,89734 min
6/30/2026, 11:16:40 PM8 trades$6,7397 min
6/25/2026, 12:20:07 PM48 trades$6,36241 min
6/4/2026, 4:07:57 AM19 trades$6,29225 min
6/27/2026, 8:20:35 PM6 trades$6,0675 min
7/9/2026, 5:17:47 PM21 trades$5,97820 min
5/21/2026, 12:34:09 PM31 trades$5,81132 min
6/27/2026, 9:43:01 PM12 trades$5,7387 min
6/22/2026, 4:57:38 PM21 trades$5,5837 min
5/27/2026, 3:42:33 AM13 trades$5,4618 min
5/13/2026, 1:53:19 PM40 trades$5,3606 min
6/23/2026, 2:17:56 PM18 trades$5,31015 min
6/15/2026, 10:04:30 PM8 trades$5,2415 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-15
07-18
10-13
12-10
05-02
06-19
07-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 74 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 132.63/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L39.8 / M13.1 / H47.1