mobes2005

@mobes2005

#3,138,95811

0x116098122cf4d5bc152ab75cf622adcb831fe3f7

~45d· 122 markets · 276 tradesVol: $63,6172026-10-06 19:57:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

31% (38/121)0.7/20
0.86x (win $2,296 / loss $2,665)0.8/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.7370/15
Sortino -1.6270/10
$-0.0970 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 728 (121 markets)8.9/10
14/42 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($1,672 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
86% entries < $0.55

Categories

6
⚽ SPORTS#1,883,366$-1,109Vol: $36,015
₿ CRYPTO#1,627,169$-414Vol: $5,483
🏛️ POLITICS#115,475$30Vol: $1,622
📢 MENTIONS#160,463$-47Vol: $650
🌤️ WEATHER#12,232$34Vol: $636
🎭 CULTURE#564,862$-2Vol: $216

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,808
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$63,617
Total Redeem
$598
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
122
total markets
Trades
163B / 113S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~45d

Periods

#2
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$-1,772
Vol: $13,066
All Time
$-3,808
Vol: $63,617

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
31%
37W / 83L events
Realized PnL
$-397
Win Rate
31%
37W / 83L
Profit Factor
0.86x
Avg Win
$60
Avg Loss
$-33

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,792 (4.513360364671217% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-29?$1,303
Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H Moneyline$288
Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?$200
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 24?$92
Spread: Cincinnati (-5.5)$46
Seahawks vs. Titans: O/U 40.5$41
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?$36
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 1.5$31
Spread: Magic (-3.5)$26
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 3.5 Corners$23

Top Losers

Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5$-598
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$-202
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner$-160
Thunder vs. Suns: 1H Moneyline$-127
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score$-100
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$-100
Spread: Ole Miss (-11.5)$-96
1H Spread: Celtics (-4.5)$-92
Spread: Rhode Island Rams (-2.5)$-91
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?$-78

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.038
Sortino
-0.084
HHI
691
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.093
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.6%
Top-5 markets
48.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
43.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.6h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.47
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2616s — normal for humanCV 2.47 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal22% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.5
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)28.2%
Mid (20-55c)57.7%
High (>55c)14.1%

Sessions

#12
8/29/2026, 4:23:18 PM2 trades$7760 min
4/12/2026, 2:26:17 PM6 trades$6050 min
4/25/2026, 10:00:08 PM3 trades$5980 min
4/24/2026, 6:28:16 PM2 trades$5920 min
8/29/2026, 5:58:33 PM1 trades$5430 min
4/25/2026, 12:23:38 AM8 trades$5151 min
4/24/2026, 1:00:20 PM22 trades$3070 min
4/25/2026, 7:30:08 PM2 trades$1760 min
4/24/2026, 12:20:06 PM2 trades$1670 min
6/13/2026, 4:06:25 PM14 trades$1289 min
4/23/2026, 10:45:00 PM5 trades$1230 min
6/15/2026, 1:12:33 AM2 trades$1150 min
6/14/2026, 10:53:54 PM2 trades$1140 min
11/15/2025, 11:48:40 PM1 trades$960 min
4/24/2026, 10:20:44 PM2 trades$940 min
11/24/2025, 3:57:07 PM1 trades$910 min
8/29/2026, 10:36:51 PM3 trades$900 min
4/12/2026, 4:20:11 PM2 trades$870 min
4/12/2026, 6:20:51 PM2 trades$850 min
6/25/2026, 10:43:35 PM2 trades$780 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-07
10-14
10-21
11-24
04-20
06-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.5/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L28.2 / M57.7 / H14.1