Polydata
mombil

@mombil

#40765

0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711

~724d· 2723 markets · 57547 tradesVol: $43,005,981 @mombil2026-07-31 13:20:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

65
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (1524/2552)14.9/20
1.21x (win $1,910,934 / loss $1,578,728)5.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.81015/15
Sortino 0.9819.8/10
$+0.0415 per $1 invested2.1/10
HHI 138 (2552 markets)10/10
263/417 profitable days (63%)8.3/10
Max DD 71% of peak ($361,773 / $511,818)0/10

Badges

9
Profitable
PnL $+507,807
Lottery Player
58% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 19.4 entries/market
Whale
$7,996,395 invested
Consistent
263/417 profitable days
High Roller
$10,777/day
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
72% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#105$489,527Vol: $27,913,612
📈 ECONOMICS#681,726$-51,248Vol: $7,087,428
SPORTS#1,869,353$-4,958Vol: $4,615,260
🎭 CULTURE#176$41,728Vol: $1,617,402
CRYPTO#8,457$5,721Vol: $594,633
💰 FINANCE#835$6,670Vol: $369,353
📢 MENTIONS#89$23,213Vol: $202,248
💻 TECH#256,633$-1,394Vol: $146,892
🌤️ WEATHER#283,092$-92Vol: $11,006

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$507,452
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$43,005,981
Total Redeem
$269,390
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2723
total markets
Trades
33529B / 24018S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~724d

Periods

#2
Today
$-971
Vol: $0
Week
$1,149
Vol: $117,189
Month
$32,097
Vol: $3,656,496
All Time
$507,452
Vol: $43,005,981

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
60%
1524W / 1028L events
Realized PnL
$507,807
Win Rate
60%
1524W / 1028L
Profit Factor
1.21x
Avg Win
$1,254
Avg Loss
$-1,562

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $538,783 (1.0609980030219337% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$278,398
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$195,645
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$64,740
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$62,638
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$55,031
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$34,230
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$30,929
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$27,009
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$26,977
Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$20,424

Top Losers

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-248,863
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-236,011
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-142,400
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$-80,064
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$-58,231
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$-48,241
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$-39,732
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$-36,041
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$-35,326
Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?$-30,843

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.042
Sortino
0.031
HHI
84
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.046
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.3%
Top-5 markets
15.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
77.6
Very active
Markets / Day
3.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
24.4m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.95
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
82.1

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 174s — normal for humanCV 4.95 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock78 trades/day — mass trading3.7 markets/day — normal72% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
19.4
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)58.2%
Mid (20-55c)14.8%
High (>55c)27%

Sessions

#12
6/8/2026, 10:34:33 AM100 trades$172,6521 min
5/6/2026, 8:49:04 AM245 trades$161,2348 min
7/13/2026, 6:45:56 PM428 trades$160,7483 min
4/10/2026, 9:19:55 AM72 trades$156,5241 min
1/30/2026, 12:04:50 PM152 trades$154,38126 min
5/20/2026, 2:15:10 PM152 trades$137,20411 min
7/15/2026, 7:33:19 PM74 trades$130,1191 min
4/18/2026, 5:26:46 PM84 trades$123,8562 min
3/4/2026, 4:08:27 PM12 trades$121,3676 min
5/3/2026, 8:35:44 PM78 trades$118,16621 min
4/7/2026, 10:32:59 PM135 trades$116,80514 min
1/30/2026, 11:22:18 AM54 trades$114,10630 min
3/1/2026, 1:30:15 AM40 trades$93,4062 min
4/17/2026, 12:25:22 PM119 trades$93,1791 min
7/17/2026, 4:02:12 PM81 trades$91,5780 min
3/1/2026, 3:43:43 AM81 trades$89,82020 min
6/14/2026, 9:29:15 PM75 trades$88,95717 min
5/19/2026, 6:29:59 PM92 trades$86,34117 min
4/7/2026, 10:54:05 PM286 trades$85,89641 min
5/18/2026, 7:00:44 PM93 trades$85,8646 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2024-07-11 12:00:00
2025-01-12 12:00:00
2025-06-20 00:00:00
2025-09-30 00:00:00
2026-01-01 05:00:00
2026-04-07 23:55:00
2027-01-01 05:00:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 19.4/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L58.2 / M14.8 / H27