monkiff

@monkiff

#1,619,80735

0xd5b07f9fd6d411b80a56f7ac1f818ecc6061f38b

~105d· 207 markets · 276 tradesVol: $21,0282026-09-10 22:08:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

67% (138/206)18.5/20
0.59x (win $7 / loss $11)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.9490/15
Sortino -2.0270/10
$-0.0005 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1121 (206 markets)6.9/10
66/94 profitable days (70%)10/10
Max DD 3224% of peak ($5 / $0)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 67%
Consistent
66/94 profitable days
Win Streak
15 wins in a row

Categories

5
₿ CRYPTO#1,031,677$-4Vol: $12,023
🎭 CULTURE#142,527$1Vol: $4,706
📈 ECONOMICS#472,577$-1Vol: $3,043
🏛️ POLITICS#929,203$-1Vol: $1,204
💻 TECH#84,843$0Vol: $52

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-5
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$21,028
Total Redeem
$17
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
207
total markets
Trades
216B / 60S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~105d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $6
Month
$-1
Vol: $12
All Time
$-5
Vol: $21,028

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
67%
138W / 68L events
Realized PnL
$-5
Win Rate
67%
138W / 68L
Profit Factor
0.59x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2 (0.3818565400843882% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon tweet 650 or more times August 15–August 22?$1
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times May 16–23?$1
Will Elon tweet 500 or more times June 6–13?$0
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 11–18?$0
Will Elon tweet 295 or more times June 20–27?$0
Will Elon tweet 600 or more times April 4 - 11?$0
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 25–August 1?$0
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times June 13–20?$0
Will Elon tweet 600 or more times September 5–12?$0
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$0

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$-3
Will BSW win the second most seats in the next German election?$-1
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times Jan 24-31?$-1
Will Elon tweet 1025-1049 times Feb 7-14?$-1
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times April 4 - 11?$-1
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?$-1
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$-1
Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?$-1
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?$-1
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.102
Sortino
-0.051
HHI
920
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.001
Kelly %
46.2%
Half-Kelly
23.1%
Top-1 market
22.4%
Top-5 markets
56%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 114s — normal for humanCV 2.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal12% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.4
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.9%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)98.1%

Sessions

#12
12/3/2025, 7:04:59 AM2 trades$1,0043 min
12/11/2025, 7:10:49 PM2 trades$5093 min
12/16/2025, 1:42:17 PM1 trades$5080 min
12/16/2025, 7:26:39 PM1 trades$5080 min
12/11/2025, 7:24:57 AM1 trades$5080 min
12/8/2025, 6:47:03 AM1 trades$5080 min
12/4/2025, 7:29:07 PM2 trades$5080 min
12/9/2025, 7:36:44 PM1 trades$5070 min
12/4/2025, 7:33:57 AM1 trades$5070 min
12/16/2025, 9:10:17 AM1 trades$5070 min
12/10/2025, 7:06:12 AM1 trades$5070 min
12/7/2025, 7:05:35 AM1 trades$5070 min
12/11/2025, 7:03:01 AM1 trades$5070 min
12/16/2025, 1:22:07 PM1 trades$5060 min
12/17/2025, 5:04:30 PM2 trades$5065 min
12/17/2025, 7:43:44 AM1 trades$5060 min
12/8/2025, 6:38:31 AM1 trades$5060 min
12/6/2025, 8:05:07 AM1 trades$5060 min
12/6/2025, 7:59:59 PM1 trades$5060 min
12/12/2025, 1:20:42 PM1 trades$5060 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-27
04-04
06-15
08-22
12-01
01-20
06-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 20 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21.7% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.4/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.9 / M0 / H98.1