@monopol

#2,265,34610

0x2d29172d165155ee4d63d0faf6bf176f73e463c2

~15d· 35 markets · 83 tradesVol: $14,5432026-08-26 09:57:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (14/31)7.6/20
0.40x (win $22 / loss $55)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.0950/15
Sortino -6.9130/10
$-0.0052 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2869 (31 markets)0/10
5/13 profitable days (38%)2.1/10
Max DD 2698% of peak ($35 / $1)0/10

Categories

6
🎭 CULTURE#708,261$-13Vol: $7,614
🏛️ POLITICS#1,322,021$-13Vol: $3,998
⚽ SPORTS#339,635$5Vol: $2,705
💻 TECH#20,517$8Vol: $122
₿ CRYPTO#1,277,413$-20Vol: $82
💰 FINANCE#464,917$-1Vol: $23

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-34
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,543
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
35
total markets
Trades
40B / 43S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~15d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-34
Vol: $14,543

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
14W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$-34
Win Rate
45%
14W / 17L
Profit Factor
0.4x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $14 (0.40696313633703923% of PnL)

Top Winners

ChatGPT integration with iPhone before October?$6
Euro 2024: Favorite fails to advance beyond group stage?$5
Will England win Group C?$3
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$2
Ethereum above $4,000 on December 13?$2
Will Trump visit China by May 15?$1
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1
China coup attempt in 2025?$1
Will the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?$1
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$0

Top Losers

Ripple above $2.39 on December 13?$-20
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-11
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$-9
Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?$-3
Will Denmark win Group C?$-3
Will Slovenia win Group C?$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$-2
Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$-1
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October? $-1
Will Kraken IPO by June?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.357
Sortino
-0.334
HHI
553
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.011
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.1%
Top-5 markets
38.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
24s
between trades
Avg Gap
41s
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.06
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
15
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.5

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 24s — normal for humanCV 2.06 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern12/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal18% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.71
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10%
Mid (20-55c)15%
High (>55c)75%

Sessions

#12
6/25/2026, 1:32:32 PM17 trades$2,4452 min
12/10/2024, 3:25:25 PM3 trades$1,2802 min
12/18/2024, 10:29:37 AM1 trades$1,2500 min
7/21/2026, 9:32:04 AM18 trades$1,2130 min
6/21/2024, 9:58:09 PM13 trades$1,06610 min
5/3/2026, 10:50:30 AM11 trades$6911 min
6/28/2026, 5:53:14 AM3 trades$4002 min
6/27/2024, 9:43:50 PM3 trades$933 min
10/5/2025, 9:40:29 AM4 trades$811 min
1/13/2025, 6:21:55 PM2 trades$610 min
3/6/2025, 4:14:53 PM2 trades$410 min
9/21/2024, 11:30:19 AM1 trades$90 min
10/16/2024, 8:10:46 PM2 trades$60 min
5/7/2026, 12:06:24 PM2 trades$30 min
8/30/2024, 8:07:12 PM1 trades$00 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-21
08-30
10-16
12-18
03-06
05-03
06-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 471 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.8% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.71/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10 / M15 / H75