@moonlight2020
#4,440870x407dd149f1e92c91d0053e0240e03318a1e01bae
~96d· 149 markets · 4022 tradesVol: $2,927,8782026-08-02 08:50:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
87
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
54% (72/133)12.1/20
2.53x (win $280,696 / loss $111,112)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.54715/15
Sortino 15.08910/10
$+0.1645 per $1 invested8.2/10
HHI 378 (133 markets)10/10
36/62 profitable days (58%)7/10
Max DD 17% of peak ($30,129 / $179,051)10/10
Badges
7Profitable
PnL $+38,511
DCA Master
Avg 29.0 entries/market
Whale
$1,030,747 invested
High Roller
$8,449/day
Cool Head
Max DD 17%
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#2,130$20,628Vol: $1,714,013
⚽ SPORTS#23,410$1,869Vol: $743,796
₿ CRYPTO#3,178$14,736Vol: $213,361
📈 ECONOMICS#1,233$4,027Vol: $144,059
💰 FINANCE#643,719$-263Vol: $51,443
🎭 CULTURE#816,135$-3,130Vol: $27,578
📢 MENTIONS#1,619$741Vol: $16,162
💻 TECH#255,960$-720Vol: $13,495
Overview
#1Net PnL
$38,694
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,927,878
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
149
total markets
Trades
2634B / 1388S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~96d
Periods
#2Today
$5,225
Vol: $11,000
Week
$3,867
Vol: $11,000
Month
$5,535
Vol: $29,722
All Time
$38,694
Vol: $2,927,878
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
54%
72W / 61L events
Realized PnL
$38,511
Win Rate
54%
72W / 61L
Profit Factor
2.53x
Avg Win
$3,899
Avg Loss
$-1,984
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $151,651 (3.9378216425252743% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$100,043
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$27,429
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$24,178
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$16,703
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$14,362
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$13,590
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$10,739
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$8,590
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$8,050
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$6,842
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-20,665
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-12,284
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$-8,164
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-6,337
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? $-5,567
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$-5,135
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-5,049
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4,040
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3,150
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,800
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.184
Sortino
0.653
HHI
339
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.173
Kelly %
32.5%
Half-Kelly
16.3%
Top-1 market
8.4%
Top-5 markets
32.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
33.0
Active
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
46.6m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.3
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 83s — normal for humanCV 4.43 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock33 trades/day — high frequency1.2 markets/day — normal68% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
28.96
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)28%
Mid (20-55c)16.2%
High (>55c)55.8%
Sessions
#127/4/2026, 3:19:19 PM9 trades$69,7360 min
4/7/2026, 12:32:47 AM36 trades$62,0990 min
6/17/2026, 1:49:26 AM2 trades$59,8800 min
7/8/2026, 9:41:47 AM4 trades$41,7601 min
4/5/2026, 2:49:33 AM7 trades$39,6869 min
7/7/2026, 5:53:59 PM17 trades$34,1900 min
6/18/2026, 1:41:11 AM9 trades$31,3990 min
4/7/2026, 3:46:53 PM18 trades$28,9310 min
6/1/2026, 12:01:20 PM27 trades$25,51612 min
6/11/2026, 12:23:09 PM28 trades$25,2460 min
7/7/2026, 7:52:53 PM23 trades$24,9501 min
4/3/2026, 4:31:39 PM6 trades$24,8901 min
6/2/2026, 10:52:34 AM4 trades$24,7251 min
6/10/2026, 2:17:51 AM13 trades$23,3101 min
7/20/2026, 4:09:57 AM22 trades$19,86016 min
4/5/2026, 5:20:37 AM1 trades$17,4600 min
4/5/2026, 5:29:21 AM1 trades$17,4600 min
4/4/2026, 1:43:49 PM8 trades$16,6005 min
4/5/2026, 3:51:21 AM10 trades$16,5245 min
4/5/2026, 7:24:47 AM1 trades$16,4880 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-03
05-05
05-30
06-16
07-02
07-15
07-28
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 42 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 28.96/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L28 / M16.2 / H55.8