Polydata
mooseborzoi

@mooseborzoi

#3,060,36597

0x84cfffc3f16dcc353094de30d4a45226eccd2f63

94d· 11619 markets · 10133 tradesVol: $331,989,0102026-07-26T11:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

97
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 65%18/20
Profit Factor 178.54x15/15
Sharpe 0.78015/15
Sortino 41.64810/10
EV $+50.18810/10
HHI 31510/10
Profit Days 94%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Mooseborzoi is an active trader on Polymarket with 10,133 trades across 392 markets over 239 days. Despite a high total volume of nearly $332 million, the trader currently holds a negative net PnL of approximately -$7.87 million, placing them at rank #3,060,365 on the global leaderboard. Mooseborzoi has maintained a stable portfolio value of about $398,000 and holds an elite Smart Score of 97/100, indicating strong underlying skills despite the current losses.

The trading strategy of mooseborzoi appears diversified and systematic, with a focus on high-frequency trading and automated execution, as suggested by a Bot Score of 75/100 and badges like Sniper and DCA Master. The trader exhibits a contrarian style with a high win rate of 76.1% and a profit factor of 4.00, indicating efficient risk-reward management. Mooseborzoi does not engage in weather markets or sell positions, instead relying on holding and dollar-cost averaging techniques, which points to a long-term, disciplined approach.

Mooseborzoi’s strengths include a robust trading system, demonstrated by a solid Sharpe ratio of 0.78 and no recorded drawdown duration, reflecting effective risk control and resilience. However, the significant negative net PnL suggests possible challenges in market timing or exposure management. The flat equity trend highlights stability but also a lack of recent growth, which could indicate periods of stagnation or difficulty adapting to evolving market conditions on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

10
Sniper
Win Rate 65%
Contrarian
64% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 25.7 entries/market
Bot
Score 75/100
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
Whale
$1,025,708
Consistent
89/95 days
High Roller
$4,292/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,879,071$-7,778,220Vol: $327,540,016
🏛️ POLITICS#1,630,072$-7,809Vol: $371,514
CRYPTO#1,390,315$-54Vol: $324

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-7,867,908
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$331,989,010
Total Redeem
$692,489
Portfolio
$397,682
Predictions
11619
total markets
Trades
10090B / 43S
Daily Volume
$4,292
Account Age
94d
since Apr 24, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$138,406
Vol: $524,181
Week
$178,428
Vol: $524,181
Month
$-4,545,046
Vol: $124,427,211
All Time
$-7,867,908
Vol: $331,989,010

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
73%
233W / 88L events
Realized PnL
$26,833,465
Win Rate
76%
102W / 32L
Profit Factor
4x
Avg Win
$3,568
Avg Loss
$-2,842

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $268,510 (98.4% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25?$212,829
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-07-25?$43,250
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-07-25?$12,432
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5$8,117
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-07-25?$7,800
Will Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC end in a draw?$6,234
Houston Dynamo vs. Austin FC: O/U 2.5$5,952
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-25?$5,941
Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)$5,611
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-07-25?$5,148

Top Losers

Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-07-25?$-27,033
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-07-24?$-19,643
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies$-12,635
Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5$-11,426
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-07-25?$-4,671
Will Santos FC win on 2026-07-25?$-2,076
Will Minnesota United FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw$-2,073
Portland Timbers vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5$-1,939
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 3.5$-1,792
Will Jackson Koivun win the 2026 3M Open?$-1,340

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.780
Sortino
41.648
HHI
315
Diversified
EV per $1
$50.188
Kelly %
61.9%
Half-Kelly
31.0%
Top-1 market
9.2%
Top-5 markets
31.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
112.1
Very active
Markets / Day
4.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
10s
between trades
Avg Gap
12.8m
between trades
Night Trading
38%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
10.47
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.9

Bot Detection

#6
75
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 10s — suspiciously fastSize CV 10.47 — diverse, typical for human37% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.98 — human randomness112 trades/day — automation515 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
25.7
Heavy DCA
<=1
76 entries
<=2
114 entries
<=5
202 entries
<=10
263 entries
<=20
312 entries
<=50
354 entries
>50
38 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.9%
Mid (20-55c)49.8%
High (>55c)30.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 57.9%

Miami$217,526
Other$44,746
Austin$7,576
Los Angeles$2,175
Seattle$690
Houston$238
Dallas$36
New York City$12
Toronto$10
Atlanta$0
Chicago$0
San Francisco$0
Seoul$0
Shenzhen$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2.6
Events covered
151

Moderate coverage

<=1
70 brackets
<=2
98 brackets
<=3
126 brackets
<=4
135 brackets
<=5
143 brackets
<=8
147 brackets
>8
4 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/27/2026, 2:23:52 AM3 trades$7,9450 min
4/27/2026, 3:06:36 AM12 trades$3233 min
4/27/2026, 3:22:16 AM1 trades$90 min
4/27/2026, 3:41:44 AM4 trades$2651 min
4/27/2026, 6:44:22 AM1 trades$90 min
4/27/2026, 4:13:32 PM1 trades$60 min
4/28/2026, 1:24:10 PM12 trades$9446 min
4/28/2026, 3:35:10 PM1 trades$60 min
4/29/2026, 7:46:08 AM1 trades$700 min
4/29/2026, 3:58:20 PM2 trades$550 min
4/29/2026, 5:19:14 PM4 trades$4783 min
4/29/2026, 5:33:28 PM1 trades$110 min
4/30/2026, 6:07:56 AM2 trades$3001 min
4/30/2026, 8:32:16 AM1 trades$70 min
4/30/2026, 9:28:02 AM2 trades$153 min
4/30/2026, 9:37:10 AM1 trades$190 min
4/30/2026, 12:12:26 PM6 trades$1177 min
4/30/2026, 12:24:46 PM1 trades$50 min
4/30/2026, 1:48:10 PM2 trades$640 min
4/30/2026, 2:07:28 PM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
05-11
05-28
06-12
06-28
07-15
08-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 25.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2.6 br/event